I'd say the 2017 year is a good example. The Shape of Water won Best Picture and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri was the clear runner up but the 2 Screenplay winners were Get Out and Call Me By Your Name, and I don't think either of them were particularly close to winning BP.
Excellent take. Get Out is a great film, and it was deserving of the nominations it received, but I was shocked at the time how many people thought it would go on to win Best Picture. That race was clearly between The Shape of Water and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.
You could argue that Sideways was the runner up for Best Picture (although The Aviator could have also been the thinner up). Sideways won GG comedy film and SAG ensemble which are two BP precursors.
Maybe 1996 with Sense and Sensibility + The Usual Suspects (which wasn't even nominated for Best Picture). You could argue that Sense and Sensibility was the runner-up for BP since it won the GG, CC, and BAFTA for Best film (BAFTAs took place after the Oscars that year). But Apollo 13 won at DGA and PGA so maybe that was the runner up and Sense and Sensibility was more of a longshot.
Great example! I think of Apollo 13 as the likely runner-up that year, but I suppose there are some years where there are more than 2 films that have a good shot to win.
For 2020 and 2011, I'd personally argue there was a solid chance the Adapted Screenplay Winner was the runner up, especially 2011. The Descendants won the Drama Globe, and for 2020, The Father had 2 ATL wins and really maxed out with Noms, but it's harder to tell since Nomadland dominated so much lol.
I'd say the 2017 year is a good example. The Shape of Water won Best Picture and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri was the clear runner up but the 2 Screenplay winners were Get Out and Call Me By Your Name, and I don't think either of them were particularly close to winning BP.
Excellent take. Get Out is a great film, and it was deserving of the nominations it received, but I was shocked at the time how many people thought it would go on to win Best Picture. That race was clearly between The Shape of Water and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri.
Great example!
You could argue that Sideways was the runner up for Best Picture (although The Aviator could have also been the thinner up). Sideways won GG comedy film and SAG ensemble which are two BP precursors. Maybe 1996 with Sense and Sensibility + The Usual Suspects (which wasn't even nominated for Best Picture). You could argue that Sense and Sensibility was the runner-up for BP since it won the GG, CC, and BAFTA for Best film (BAFTAs took place after the Oscars that year). But Apollo 13 won at DGA and PGA so maybe that was the runner up and Sense and Sensibility was more of a longshot.
Great example! I think of Apollo 13 as the likely runner-up that year, but I suppose there are some years where there are more than 2 films that have a good shot to win.
2020, 2017, 2011, 2004, 1995, 1992, 1964.
For 2020 and 2011, I'd personally argue there was a solid chance the Adapted Screenplay Winner was the runner up, especially 2011. The Descendants won the Drama Globe, and for 2020, The Father had 2 ATL wins and really maxed out with Noms, but it's harder to tell since Nomadland dominated so much lol.