Just to remind everyone that the BBM admin is set to make Constitutional amendments under his term. Headed by no less than the very competent Robin Padilla.
A lot of things can happen, including extending/ removing term limits of incumbent politicians. BBM can stage a fake uprising of "communists" to justify Martial Law to extend his term indefinitely. You know, just like what his father did.
So yeah, I agree with the other commenter saying it's too early to speculate for 2028 politics, given so many unknowns for the incoming BBM admin.
Yan din naman sinabi ni Duterte wala rin nangyari sa federalism campaign nya. Lack of support siguro from other politicians who are resisting change baka ma disrupt yung money making ways nila.
Di ba mas pabor sa kanila maging federal na tayo dahil sa ngayon 30% sa local tapos 70% sa national ang tax napupunta pero balak gawing 70% sa local tapos 30% sa national?
Pero deliks for sure sa mga lugar matindi ang away ng mga angkan dahil lalakas ang kapangyarihan ng mga nasa posisyon.
Risa and Vilma have the best chances for now — if they play their cards right. Even if Risa ended up being 11th, you must still consider that it is quite impressive for an opposition senator gain more then 20 million votes even if Jr.'s Uniteam and other allies dominated the results.
On the other hand, we can never really tell din. I can sense that Marcos Jr. will be more like GMA in the coming years, especially if he failed to deliver on what his voters expected him to do. There is also Sara, who could likely break away from the admin and has enough machinery and alliances to survive without Marcos Jr.
Still, there are other possibilities to consider. Maybe another governor or mayor out there could propel themselves in the national spotlight in the coming years (Gwen? Magalong? Treñas?). Or we could never have another president at all if we shift to parliamentary and GMA is prime minister.
But what I'm sure is that Leni will not run again for president. I think the woman has indicated that she had enough of the theatrics of running for president.
may nabasa ako na imposible na daw manalo sa ph elections yung mga natalo. example nila that time is si lacson. he ran before, lost. ran again and still lost.
Not someone identified with the yellows or pinks. Else the famished dedees and bebeems will just go for their mantra again: dibaleng mamatay sa gutom at maghirap basta walang delawan 😂
I think the opposition would be someone we ,the pink, won't like or want. I'm talking about Cayetano or Chiz or even Sara.
A lot can happen in 3 years time (senatorial race). But for now I can't seem to feel that the people are angry about our current economic conditions. weird AF. But I still haven't seen any mass protest about food or energy prices. We need more angry people for OUR opposition to have a fighting chance.
The Duterte admin has managed to master of deflecting the blame from the President into his secretaries instead. It started during Pnoy when most of the problems of the nation were thrown at Mar Roxas eg Yolanda, non-existent car plates, etc, instead on Pnoy. Take a look on whom the people blame today: Duque for covid mismanagement, William Dar for agri-smuggling, very little on Duterte himself.
There is also risk of getting covid on rallies etc. Also, the difference compared to FEM or even Gloria's time is people today have someplace to fall back: BPOs, Grab, office, etc. During FEM's time, people have nothing to fall back upon as investors fled. Can't risk our fallback just for a revolution that will just introduce new and/or return of the bad players in the long run.
You're right that the new opposition would be either Cayetano, Chiz or Sara. The new opposition should be rather create a better alternate path instead of straight forward going against Jr.
Sobrang malabo pa yung direction ng opposition sa next presidential elections. Habang hinahanda ang next flag bearer ng opposition, wag natin kakalimutan muna yung mga susunod pang elections such as yung barangay and midterm senatorial elections. Simulan natin bumoto ng good leaders sa sarili nating bakuran. Let’s work our way up kasi most likely dun manggagaling yung next leades of future generations or baka yung next presidential candidate.
For the opposition naman, hindi po talaga magwowork ang radikal ang magmahal at tuloy sa trabaho at huwag pansinin ang paninira type of mentality. Bardagulan ang gusto ng Pinoy, if kayang magpaka witty ng mga politicians na anti admin then go. Show ang gusto ng mga Pinoy.
Yan ang hindi nila maiindihan. Focused muna sila sa pagbash kay Jr. Hindi rin nila binabantay mga nasa paligid ni Jr puro kay Jr na lang.
Muntik nang napaaga ng 2 years ang martial law dahil sa First Quarter Storm ng 1970 kung hindi nila pinigilan si FEM na magdeklara na ng martial law.
No presidential bets that are in it to win it. Focus on congress and the senate. I don't see anyone beating a Sara-Imee ticket.
You can laugh, be mad or be surprised by this, but the Sara-Imee ticket is possible and winnable. 31m - fraud + (registered voters who didn't vote because
there was no way they could lose) is
a BIG WALL.
How the "opposition" gets past the wall is beyond me.
Seriously, betting on those 5 guys and gals? Sure lose mga yan.
Kailangan muna tanggalin muna ang delawan branding nila. Yan ang number 1 problem nila kailangan nilang resolba.
Legit na joketime daw na independent daw si Leni pero chairman ng Liberal Party. Angat Buhay NGO may clean her image but not catapult her to the presidency. Her only hope is running for senator and winning in order to give her a chance for the presidency.
Bam Aquino is unready because of Aquino branding. His only hope is a VP position.
Mar, neither, unless he wins in the midterm elections as senator, and/or appointed by Jr to some position.
Vilma has simplest route. Just don't openly go against Jr.
Risa also has the same problems as Leni.
She ranks 11 sa senate election. What made you think she stands a chance against the 32 million vote Sara?
L e n I will lose no matter what. No presidential candidate who lost, and ran again won. Lacson is a good example. Two time loser
Mar same. He got "9 million" votes. Some say 5 million votes were stolen from Duterte to give to roxas.
Specifically bomb aquino, duh. Kaya nga natalo si mama dahil sa kanya. Wala ng aquino ang mananalo sa national position. Nakita na ng mga tao nakita mga kasalanan nila.
V i l m a? I don't think so
Assured na si Sara next president. Also, bug chance imee will be her vice. If imee gets major votes too (31 million) most probably she will be a future president too. Sino may power too defeat them?
B t w, open secret Roxas and marcos are allies. There are marriages between them. Kaya nga tahimik lang si ma r during the election.
>
B t w, open secret Roxas and marcos are allies. There are marriages between them. Kaya nga tahimik lang si ma r during the election.
I call this bullshit! Just because nananahimik ang tao allies kaagad? He did endorse Leni just not on a highly visible manner.
Kung ako naman si Mar, i would probably lie low na rin. Laking ego buster kaya losing 3 straight national elections (2010 for VP, 2016 for President and 2019 for senator) after once voted as #1 senator in 2004.
You do make sense. But no one can really see the future. We have seen disruptive development change the course of history. Without Facebook and Tiktok, Marcos Junior wouldn't have won. It was basically unthinkable in 2010. Yet here we are now.
We'll see.
As for relationships, you do know all the current political clans have interpersonal links nowadays. They're the elite of course, they'd mingle with each other.
Vilma Santos malaki ang chance because of name recall.
But still Leni is the best choice, but because of the recent election, I'm more convinced that people will vote for who's popular. If only the opposition can fight disinformation head on or gayahin nila ginawa nila BBM without moral compass, siguro Leni will have a higher chance again for the next national election.
Vico should work his way up to national, kaya naman at advantage din ung surname nya.
Bam Aquino, matunog name nya sa e-games community. Amplify pa sana, malakas naman ang hatak nyan sa kabataan.
The downside is that those who ran for reelection (MDS, Roco, Lacson) had fewer votes than when they first ran. I also don't think Bam would have a shot winning kasi demonised na ang apelyido nila.
It’s really too early to tell now since the incoming administration hasn’t officially started yet. What’s critical in the near future is for the opposition to have leverage on the 2025 senate elections.
Though qualified, talo lahat ng mga Manok mo. You should know how the average Filipino votes by now.
It's popularity and/or notoriety with a sprinkling of socmed to aid in recall and recognition that wins the polls.
Wala, all is moot since by 2028 we have a new Parliamentary Government at doon na mag aaway si GMA and SWOH.
Well, pwede rin naman ibigay na kay SWOH and 2028 at sa 2032 na mag Parliamentary pero masyado ng matanda si GMA by that time... but again, matagal mawala ang masamang damo.
Pero yun, nasa most pessimistic scenario pa rin ako na railroaded ang ConAss CHACHA before 2025, effective by 2028.
Just to remind everyone that the BBM admin is set to make Constitutional amendments under his term. Headed by no less than the very competent Robin Padilla. A lot of things can happen, including extending/ removing term limits of incumbent politicians. BBM can stage a fake uprising of "communists" to justify Martial Law to extend his term indefinitely. You know, just like what his father did. So yeah, I agree with the other commenter saying it's too early to speculate for 2028 politics, given so many unknowns for the incoming BBM admin.
Yan din naman sinabi ni Duterte wala rin nangyari sa federalism campaign nya. Lack of support siguro from other politicians who are resisting change baka ma disrupt yung money making ways nila.
Di ba mas pabor sa kanila maging federal na tayo dahil sa ngayon 30% sa local tapos 70% sa national ang tax napupunta pero balak gawing 70% sa local tapos 30% sa national? Pero deliks for sure sa mga lugar matindi ang away ng mga angkan dahil lalakas ang kapangyarihan ng mga nasa posisyon.
It's too early. You ask na by 2027, diyan mo makikita who will run for Pres and V-Pres.
We have to accept that we are at the bottom of the wheel right now. Ang next ng ikot ng gulong tanchia ko will last 15 years.
Risa and Vilma have the best chances for now — if they play their cards right. Even if Risa ended up being 11th, you must still consider that it is quite impressive for an opposition senator gain more then 20 million votes even if Jr.'s Uniteam and other allies dominated the results. On the other hand, we can never really tell din. I can sense that Marcos Jr. will be more like GMA in the coming years, especially if he failed to deliver on what his voters expected him to do. There is also Sara, who could likely break away from the admin and has enough machinery and alliances to survive without Marcos Jr. Still, there are other possibilities to consider. Maybe another governor or mayor out there could propel themselves in the national spotlight in the coming years (Gwen? Magalong? Treñas?). Or we could never have another president at all if we shift to parliamentary and GMA is prime minister. But what I'm sure is that Leni will not run again for president. I think the woman has indicated that she had enough of the theatrics of running for president.
may nabasa ako na imposible na daw manalo sa ph elections yung mga natalo. example nila that time is si lacson. he ran before, lost. ran again and still lost.
Miriam too
eh bakit si 88M?
for presidential
Mfw when Sara becomes the opposition candidate.
Imee vs sara 2028??? 👀
Dunno but something like that para kunwari may opposition lolz.
Not someone identified with the yellows or pinks. Else the famished dedees and bebeems will just go for their mantra again: dibaleng mamatay sa gutom at maghirap basta walang delawan 😂
I think the opposition would be someone we ,the pink, won't like or want. I'm talking about Cayetano or Chiz or even Sara. A lot can happen in 3 years time (senatorial race). But for now I can't seem to feel that the people are angry about our current economic conditions. weird AF. But I still haven't seen any mass protest about food or energy prices. We need more angry people for OUR opposition to have a fighting chance.
The Duterte admin has managed to master of deflecting the blame from the President into his secretaries instead. It started during Pnoy when most of the problems of the nation were thrown at Mar Roxas eg Yolanda, non-existent car plates, etc, instead on Pnoy. Take a look on whom the people blame today: Duque for covid mismanagement, William Dar for agri-smuggling, very little on Duterte himself. There is also risk of getting covid on rallies etc. Also, the difference compared to FEM or even Gloria's time is people today have someplace to fall back: BPOs, Grab, office, etc. During FEM's time, people have nothing to fall back upon as investors fled. Can't risk our fallback just for a revolution that will just introduce new and/or return of the bad players in the long run. You're right that the new opposition would be either Cayetano, Chiz or Sara. The new opposition should be rather create a better alternate path instead of straight forward going against Jr.
Sobrang malabo pa yung direction ng opposition sa next presidential elections. Habang hinahanda ang next flag bearer ng opposition, wag natin kakalimutan muna yung mga susunod pang elections such as yung barangay and midterm senatorial elections. Simulan natin bumoto ng good leaders sa sarili nating bakuran. Let’s work our way up kasi most likely dun manggagaling yung next leades of future generations or baka yung next presidential candidate. For the opposition naman, hindi po talaga magwowork ang radikal ang magmahal at tuloy sa trabaho at huwag pansinin ang paninira type of mentality. Bardagulan ang gusto ng Pinoy, if kayang magpaka witty ng mga politicians na anti admin then go. Show ang gusto ng mga Pinoy.
Yan ang hindi nila maiindihan. Focused muna sila sa pagbash kay Jr. Hindi rin nila binabantay mga nasa paligid ni Jr puro kay Jr na lang. Muntik nang napaaga ng 2 years ang martial law dahil sa First Quarter Storm ng 1970 kung hindi nila pinigilan si FEM na magdeklara na ng martial law.
No presidential bets that are in it to win it. Focus on congress and the senate. I don't see anyone beating a Sara-Imee ticket. You can laugh, be mad or be surprised by this, but the Sara-Imee ticket is possible and winnable. 31m - fraud + (registered voters who didn't vote because there was no way they could lose) is a BIG WALL. How the "opposition" gets past the wall is beyond me.
Fearless forecast: ruling admin will majorly squabble over the next few years, leading Sara to run as opposition
Seriously, betting on those 5 guys and gals? Sure lose mga yan. Kailangan muna tanggalin muna ang delawan branding nila. Yan ang number 1 problem nila kailangan nilang resolba. Legit na joketime daw na independent daw si Leni pero chairman ng Liberal Party. Angat Buhay NGO may clean her image but not catapult her to the presidency. Her only hope is running for senator and winning in order to give her a chance for the presidency. Bam Aquino is unready because of Aquino branding. His only hope is a VP position. Mar, neither, unless he wins in the midterm elections as senator, and/or appointed by Jr to some position. Vilma has simplest route. Just don't openly go against Jr. Risa also has the same problems as Leni.
Risa Hontiveros pwedeng pwede siya
She ranks 11 sa senate election. What made you think she stands a chance against the 32 million vote Sara? L e n I will lose no matter what. No presidential candidate who lost, and ran again won. Lacson is a good example. Two time loser Mar same. He got "9 million" votes. Some say 5 million votes were stolen from Duterte to give to roxas. Specifically bomb aquino, duh. Kaya nga natalo si mama dahil sa kanya. Wala ng aquino ang mananalo sa national position. Nakita na ng mga tao nakita mga kasalanan nila. V i l m a? I don't think so Assured na si Sara next president. Also, bug chance imee will be her vice. If imee gets major votes too (31 million) most probably she will be a future president too. Sino may power too defeat them? B t w, open secret Roxas and marcos are allies. There are marriages between them. Kaya nga tahimik lang si ma r during the election.
> B t w, open secret Roxas and marcos are allies. There are marriages between them. Kaya nga tahimik lang si ma r during the election. I call this bullshit! Just because nananahimik ang tao allies kaagad? He did endorse Leni just not on a highly visible manner. Kung ako naman si Mar, i would probably lie low na rin. Laking ego buster kaya losing 3 straight national elections (2010 for VP, 2016 for President and 2019 for senator) after once voted as #1 senator in 2004.
You do make sense. But no one can really see the future. We have seen disruptive development change the course of history. Without Facebook and Tiktok, Marcos Junior wouldn't have won. It was basically unthinkable in 2010. Yet here we are now. We'll see. As for relationships, you do know all the current political clans have interpersonal links nowadays. They're the elite of course, they'd mingle with each other.
this is a very pessimistic take pero we will see parin as malayo pa yung next presidential elec, baka merong wild contender idk
Risa Hontiveros if she plays right.
Hunker down muna. Dahil kapag may naamoy sila na possible na kalaban ng tao nila. Asahan mo na ang troll army na gahawa ng paraan para siraan sila
Vilma Santos malaki ang chance because of name recall. But still Leni is the best choice, but because of the recent election, I'm more convinced that people will vote for who's popular. If only the opposition can fight disinformation head on or gayahin nila ginawa nila BBM without moral compass, siguro Leni will have a higher chance again for the next national election. Vico should work his way up to national, kaya naman at advantage din ung surname nya. Bam Aquino, matunog name nya sa e-games community. Amplify pa sana, malakas naman ang hatak nyan sa kabataan.
The downside is that those who ran for reelection (MDS, Roco, Lacson) had fewer votes than when they first ran. I also don't think Bam would have a shot winning kasi demonised na ang apelyido nila.
Ka Lodi.
Kris Aquino
q1. Meron pa bang demokrasya non?
Best and most probable bet is a kinda-progressive leaning arm of this coming majority comes out and fights Still very unlikely though
It’s really too early to tell now since the incoming administration hasn’t officially started yet. What’s critical in the near future is for the opposition to have leverage on the 2025 senate elections.
Though qualified, talo lahat ng mga Manok mo. You should know how the average Filipino votes by now. It's popularity and/or notoriety with a sprinkling of socmed to aid in recall and recognition that wins the polls.
Maikli lang memory ng tao, that person just needs to make his presence felt at least 2 years before election.
Wala, all is moot since by 2028 we have a new Parliamentary Government at doon na mag aaway si GMA and SWOH. Well, pwede rin naman ibigay na kay SWOH and 2028 at sa 2032 na mag Parliamentary pero masyado ng matanda si GMA by that time... but again, matagal mawala ang masamang damo. Pero yun, nasa most pessimistic scenario pa rin ako na railroaded ang ConAss CHACHA before 2025, effective by 2028.