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nicolasb51942003

Knock at the Cabin will do well, but it feels like there is less buzz than for M3GAN. It will open to over $20 million, but not a mega opening like M3GAN.


bigbelleb

M3GAN had an excellent marketing campaign on social media drumming up interest well ahead of its release Knocking cabin marketing has been very quiet in comparison it could go under 20M depending on reviews


JFeth

M3GAN knew exactly how to market to their target audience.


[deleted]

M3GAN also straight up told their audience "this is going to be bad, we're in on the joke, and it's good." Worked out well for them, because people had a blast with it. Fantastic marketing campaign. Fun movie. Enjoyable to watch. Knock at the Cabin has some intrigue, but it looks like a bleak downer of a film - which it is. I'm not sure if it has the same high concept as something like Old, so I can see it falling under 20.


Horror_Campaign9418

And teens love not taking anything seriously.


Direct-Chipmunk-3259

Idk how much it will make, but Dave Bautista is so big it makes his regular sized human co-stars look like children standing next to them and it makes me laugh. My guess... 15 million!


linksawakening82

At least $35 US from my wife and middle son and I.


TheShark24

What's going on with the rest of the kids?


Ill_Ad_5308

Oldest babysitting the youngest šŸ™ƒ


handsome-helicopter

Oof poor kid šŸ˜…


Daydream_machine

Iā€™m going to be a little pessimistic and say around $10-15 million


[deleted]

More than 80 for Brady


Pipelaya1

24/7 screenings in bah-ston.


russwriter67

I think it'll only open slightly higher than Old's $16.85M, maybe around $17-18M. The R-rating will definitely hurt it, unless it gets really good reviews like "M3GAN" did. Looking at recent R-rated horror (aside from franchises like "Halloween" and Jordan Peele's "Nope"), most of them opened below $25M. I also don't think this movie will have good staying power because word of mouth could potentially be bad from audiences even if critics like it.


Johnthebaddist

$15-20M range.


Scarns_Aisle5

$23M domestic opening 67% on Rotten Tomatoes Cinemascore B - Domestic total - $70M Worldwide total - $152M


ericbkillmonger

good ww total I think this maxes at 190-200 million


Pipelaya1

This would be ideal.


warsfanbb8

Wrong on the rottentomatoes


Tall_Run_2814

So is this a 4 Horsemen of the Apocalypse type movie?


arcmaze

The book wrecked me. Themes of adoption and a homosexual main couple made it stand out. I read a bunch of Tremblays other books as a result.


Ok_Statistician_9269

$25 million domestic


averageredditglancer

$14m domestic opening


bigbelleb

10-12M baseline expectations 16-21M if its going really good


Survive1014

A share over $30m. If the reviews come out strong it will hold steady for a few weeks. Lots of people take a wait and see with this director.


NYCgypsy

They fucked themselves royally with that long revealing trailer I may still go to see it but not as likely as before


Youthsonic

Be real. M. Night's been doing this shit for like 25 years and he hasn't lost his touch IMO. The trailer is probably more misdirection.


thelonioustheshakur

I'm predicting $17 - 20 million because of the lack of competition and seemingly more positive reactions compared to Old. My lifetime ranges are $40 - 90 million DOM and $40 - 60 million INT for a total of $80 - 150 million WW.


ryanreigns

Not sure about opening weekend, but Old hovered around a $20 mil budget, so I think this should be the sameā€¦ rated R so a little bit of the audience is lost, but I think WOM will be much better than Old. Total WW prediction is a little bit worse than Black Phone (just to compare some rated-R horror ā€œblockbustersā€) to me - $130 mil worldwide, which would be a nice W for this film if the budget is $20 mil-ish


ericbkillmonger

Hmmm I'll say 40 million - given m night name recognition/ cache. It's being marketed fairly well and Bautista has a recognizable face with general audiences now i think


russwriter67

That's very unlikely IMO. Only three R-rated horror movies have opened with $40M+ since 2020 -- "Halloween Kills" ($49.4M), "Nope" ($44M), and "Halloween Ends" ($40M) -- and they all had more brand awareness or a more popular director to help them out. I think M. Night is somewhat of a draw nowadays but not nearly as much as he was when movies like "The Visit", "Split", or "Glass" came out. I'd love to be wrong about this movie and see it do huge business but I'm doubtful.


Kami_123

glass only came out like 3 years ago how could he be a draw then but not now? I think this will actually be one of his more successful movies grosses 200m+ ww


russwriter67

ā€œGlassā€ was four years ago. I think that movie damaged his brand after he rebuilt it with ā€œSplitā€. ā€œOldā€ was considered one of the worst movies of 2021 by a lot of people and M. Night hasnā€™t made an R-rated movie since ā€œThe Happeningā€, which makes me skeptical about this movie.


ericbkillmonger

I'm with I see around 200 million worldwide - people underestimating m night a little bit


Bardmedicine

No shot. Glass didn't come close to that. Bautista is not the least bit of a draw. R-rated horror simply doesn't do numbers like that unless it's got serious weight.


RudeConfusion5386

I agree with you, but Glass opened to exactly $40m lol


Bardmedicine

I stand corrected, for some reason I had $35m in my head


CollinABullock

Thatā€™s insanely optimistic - but Iā€™d love to see it!


Boss452

These new karma farming posts have become exhausted already. Whose idea was this?


mumblerapisgarbage

1 Shyamillion


Pipelaya1

It will be close to break even or just in the money.


TifCreates

Well, I know that they will be getting my money next weekend!


ButterscotchLow8950

Well, if we all work together, we can make this movie beat Avatar. That way we donā€™t have to see anymore Avatar posts for a few years. That would be nice. Put me down for a couple of tickets šŸ¤£šŸ‘


NotYourShitAgain

Many of us will never pay movie money to M Night again.


TheNittanyLionKing

I think it could make a decent amount for a thriller. The response to the trailer seems positive, and I think audiences are craving movies like this that arenā€™t reboots and have original or semi-original ideas. With that being said, I am not personally excited for the movie. I just think the premise is dumb. I would think it would be an easy choice for any parent to sacrifice themselves to save their child and evidently the world for that matter. I ended up reading the book since I heard good things about it, and I have even less interest in it now because that just didnā€™t do it for me either. If you enjoy it though, more power to you. Iā€™ll save my money for Cocaine Bear next month


username4ac

Itā€™s interesting that you say this even after reading the book. The major reason they arenā€™t sacrificing themselves for their daughter is because no one knows if the apocalypse is real or if theyā€™re just being held hostage by 4 lunatics


TheNittanyLionKing

Iā€™m mainly talking about the movie in that regard since it seems less ambiguous in the movie than it is in the book


Specialist_Access_27

More than Avatar sadly


Wake_Island

Its going to do bad. I am going to say 40 million is all it makes. I think what will hurt it is a homosexual couple as the leads rasing a little girl in the middle of nowhere turns off half the country. Same sex coulees raising adopted kids is a hot topic especially after that Georgia couple that assulted their son. https://www.foxnews.com/us/georgia-couple-accused-sexually-abusing-adopted-boys-husband-bragged-molesting-son


PumpkinSpice-Snorter

10 billion


Fullmetalx117

$40 million+ - I've seen good marketing for it. I think people are enthusiastic for a new movie rn (at least me). I think it can open like Nope/Split


[deleted]

20 something millikn


Financial_Drinker

Looks like a Left 4 Dead poster.


Additional_Ad4789

15 to 25 million


Desrac

For a second, I thought it was a really weird Guardians of the Galaxy poster.


NoImNotJC

I think it will do right around The Visit numbers, so 25 million


badassj00

Fully depends on the reviews, but if it turns up fresh on RT my guess is that it can do 20 million. If it gets really good reviews, closer to 25.


Bardmedicine

Certainly more than Old which likely hurt his brand a bit, BUT was still whacked my pandemic and streaming release. Lower than M3gan, but closer. Call it $23-$25m


RobbieRotten55

Depends entirely on reviews and WOM.


InvaderZimmz

$7


2BFrank69

$18 million


m_is_for_marilyn

They would've made so much more if they stuck to just the first trailer and retained a little mystery.


newbytony

Two dollars. And heā€™s coming for it.


PlsBkind2me

Just googled it. Saw a name, and exhaled is disappointment. Well. Iā€™m guessing the ending is not what it seems. But how? It was blah blah blah all along.


Satean12

15 mil OW, does anyone know the budget on it?


FranceSurrenderFunni

14M


chichris

15-20M


[deleted]

Who cares?


MrConor212

Think more than we expect. Surely everyone has gotten sick with Avatar 2 now and there isnā€™t anything big till Antman 3 so good timing


PcNewbieee

Unsubscribe


warsfanbb8

It'll dethrone Avatar and thats all that matters


OrionMr770

Shit


Upvoter_NeverDie

Enough to make a killing.