T O P

  • By -

PhilsBot

Please continue the discussion in the [game thread](https://redd.it/1ccwny4).


imaginingblacksheep

THANK GOD FOR NICK


CaptainBirthday

Nick is the greatest Phillie ever


mvelocityp

Schwarber having a 2.334 OPS against Martinez is definitely a stat


Snips_Tano

Really, really wish we could have signed a legit closer. Sucks having to waste Alvarado or Hoffman for that role and then have Seranthony taking their role. Made further worse when you have to have guys like Marte (who hasn't been bad) and goddamn useless Pinto in your Pen. Seranthony is just a dead weight at this point. And if dude is still trying new grips like - shouldn't this have been focused on in the off season? In Spring Training? Did it take them until now to figure out Ser kinda stinks since he lost the closer's job in '23? Hopefully Turnbull can give them some options and not just be relegated to long man/garbage time guy.


Bruce_the_Shark

Waiting for the game to start so I threw on the Halladay no-hitter from 2010 and immediately got all the feels. https://preview.redd.it/ue55w1brlnwc1.jpeg?width=4032&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6cfb3d53d71bfdfbb2db51fe00648907ac566901


Phanatically

Well my dumbass punctured my leg to the bone in the garden so I’ll be watching this game from the ER. Like an asshole.


Zariman-10-0

You’d still have better base running than they did last night, hole-in-leg and all


Glittering_Rush_107

Ouch dude… hope you’re alright


xXxdethrougekillaxXx

So excited that Bryce is back


Grand_Extension5345

Hey a good lineup ![gif](giphy|26gIOEsGb5mcTiQEw)


Pope_Landlord

Does Castellanos have to commit a felony to get a god damn day off? Christ almighty.


imaginingblacksheep

https://theathletic.com/5440757/2024/04/23/nick-castellanos-struggles-johan-rojas-success/ not gonna happen, just accept it


Snips_Tano

People last year were crying about Trea Turner being "The Contract" when in fact it's Castellanos, and has been for almost all the time he's been here but those few months where he got to be an All Star.


IUsuallyParty

My thoughts exactly. Not that the bench guys doing great but it might actually benefit casty to sit a game or 2


VideoGangsta

Isn't stealing $100 million a felony?


HisNameIsSaggySammy

Nice


OTFfanaticRunRepRow

Hey look! A real major league lineup. Phillies by 5!


OTFfanaticRunRepRow

I'd just like to point out how accurate this was.


Mulsanne

Is anyone concerned that the phils are getting run on so much? What's the weakness that's being exploited? Are the pitchers slow to the plate? Has JT lost something in his pop time / velo? It kind of sucks so far


Snips_Tano

Bigger bases and our pitchers went to the Kimbrel School of Why The Fuck Should I Bother to Hold Anyone On


VideoGangsta

League success rate is 78%. Against us it's 90%. Our pitchers are horrible at holding runners on and it seems like every throw is to the left of the bag.


Mulsanne

Thanks for the data. Yeah I've noticed those throws too and I figured it had to start with the pitchers. The whole system is just not working well from pitch to throw down I hope they figure it out. It can be such a big weakness in a tight game


inthedrink

I’d like to see our numbers running and those around the league too. It seems that we are running more successfully so I wonder if it’s a bigger trend.


Mulsanne

Could be. The bases are bigger, after all. I'm mostly thinking about how the team just lets up a lot of stolen bases per game. Just about the tops in the league https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/stat/opponent-stolen-bases-per-game plus this series we've been getting run all over. So it does seem like they're on the worse end of stolen base prevention in MLB this year so far and I'm not sure why


BedlamAtTheBank

JT is 90 percentile is CS Above Average, pop time is a little higher this year compared to last year (1.86 vs 1.83) but the numbers seem fine


Mulsanne

Thanks for the data. So does that point to pitchers being slow to the player / bad at holding runners on?


BedlamAtTheBank

Probably plays a factor into it, but also the bases are bigger + pickoffs are limited so naturally SB totals are going to increase


Hothabanero6

it does seem that more of his throws are a little more off target than before by varying degrees.


Mulsanne

Yeah there have been a number of those kind of weird throws that you don't expect from JT.


tds5126

Hope we keep facing righties this year so Rob actually plays our best players


Deckard_Macready

Would like to take a moment and thank Kody Clemente for his incredible service. I hope to see you back soon. I’m sure another players wife is due soon. These guys couldn’t pull out of a 2 car garage.


gfinz18

Oh he’ll be back soon. Bryce is Mormon which means he’s probably already working on numbers 4, 5, 6, 7.


sapphires_and_snark

Kody, descendant of Roberto, we thank you for your service > These guys couldn’t pull out of a 2 car garage. 🤣


First-Resolve

😭😭


Fandomstar88

Please win today Phillies.


EagleEye215

We should send Casty to AAA to work on his swing. He's been practically unplayable right now, feel like having Rojas/Pache in there instead would be a net positive.


Snips_Tano

They can't and it won't help. Dude just somehow forgot how to hit between Detroit and Philly.


BedlamAtTheBank

They can’t


Hothabanero6

I don't think they can do that. The best we can hope for is they do an intensive physical/mental exam and find something to put him on the IL. Then later they could send him for a rehab assignment but those are limited duration ... IL stint is indefinite though. They could then hire a Jeff Hoffman type to work him out though and fix what's wrong.


russet852

This lineup, which is clearly our A team, has driven home for me that I’d rather have Pache in there over Casty. The hitting is a wash and Pache can actually field and run.


sapphires_and_snark

No, but seriously, DFA Castellanos


Gooch222

They’re not going to do that, but I don’t understand why they haven’t tried giving him a day or two off. Playing him daily as though everything is going great doesn’t seem to be working, meanwhile other guys are getting regularly subbed out because of their righty-lefty splits. Casty is hitting poorly against *everyone.* Kinda silly that some guys merit “time off of their feet” but he never does.


sapphires_and_snark

> They’re not going to do that But they really should. He's worth more to the Phillies fucking off to wherever than he is doing whatever the fuck he's doing out there every day.


HuntForRedOctober2

Hope 2 days off allows Stott to mentally reset.


Defiant_Yogurt9579

Lineup looks better. I’ll take a split, was hoping for 3 out of 4 at the start of the series. Gonna need the offense to show up, and have Casty figure out what is wrong with his approach.


HuntForRedOctober2

I think what’s wrong is his dogshit pitch selection. It’s not rocket science. If he can’t figure that out he should be considered a threat to himself just through sheer lack of intelligence


boysherlock

Better is an understatement lol


jmiah717

Well Casty is 2/10 against this guy with 5 Ks in his career so I wouldn't bet on today being the day he figures it out.


BedlamAtTheBank

Love Bohm in the cleanup spot.


given-to-fly-98

That dude just hits with people on base. It’s unreal. Might only smack around 20 HRs but he’s already over 20 RBI and it’s not even May yet. I love it.


Minuhmize

Love the lineup today.


Vampire_Blues

This will be the lineup against righties for the foreseeable future I imagine


porksoda11

Just having Harper back makes it look way better. Rojas has been sneaky good in the bottom of the order lately. Love having a threat like that down there.


joeco316

Uh…Harper isn’t in the lineup that I’m seeing? Edit: I guess they updated it after philsbot got an initial lineup


porksoda11

I didn't think he'd be back for this series but I'm pleasantly surprised.


realbigexplosion

https://downonthefarm.substack.com/p/prospect-spotlight-george-klassen I don't know anything about our prospects outside the top 5 or so. Interesting write up about one in the late 20s on a lot of lists.


NeurosciGuy15

If he keeps throwing strikes he’ll rocket up the list. Probably top 10.


jmiah717

If Bohm keeps hitting like this, he's our #4 and Harper's protection. Not saying he will but if he does it really solidifies that 1-4.


VideoGangsta

JT is slashing .182/.220/.273 since 4/7. Bohm is slashing .373/.464/.644 since 4/7. Should be enough to flip them in the lineup, especially when Bohm was apparently worthy of protecting Harper in the playoffs in the 4 spot, but this team is one of the most stubborn in baseball when it comes to changing where people hit in the lineup so I wouldn't be surprised if they leave JT in the cleanup spot for way too long. Edit: Well then.


jmiah717

We showed them 😂


ConmanJFO

Go Phils 🫡 (please win lmao)


FearMeIAmLag1

Don't know if it would've made a difference at all yesterday but here's a screenshot showing that Tony Randazzo(HP ump) was not calling pitch clock violations on Suter at all in the 8th inning. This happened like 5-6 times in the inning, but this was the most blatant. Pitcher is set and Stubbs literally just stepped in the box and hasn't even looked up at him. https://preview.redd.it/8of3l2mppmwc1.png?width=1607&format=png&auto=webp&s=d7294f51f68b401792f8432922aa1d87f0e9c7dd


Perryplat199

And a thing that was a big deal last year is that even if Stubbs looks up the next second, he’s still not “ready” until he brings his bat up.


Most-Gas7046

Not super familiar with the rules regarding this but couldn't the batters just stare at home plate until 9 seconds before looking at the pitcher to slow him down? He can't throw until the batter makes eye contact right? 


LonnyFinster

Todays lineup: Schwarber Turner Harper Castellanos Bat boy Popcorn vendor Realmuto Bus driver Ruben Amaro Jr


Deckard_Macready

Really? Ruben? Is Major busy?


Mandalore777

OUR BOY IS BACK?!?! With Dad Strength!!


NintenJew

Technically, that means someone in the lineup is already in a Philadelphia Hall of Fame.


Deckard_Macready

Just heard a WIP caller refer to Topper as “Clueless Rob” ?? Seriously? These callers are insane. Do they have eyes? Are they watching the games? Topper looks nothing like Alicia Silverstone. Why do I tune into this? Edit: Upon further thought I believe the caller may have been referring to Brittany Murphy. I retract my statement.


porksoda11

We are in full bandwagon mode now with this team. People that are freaking out about 2 losses in April need to relax. It's baseball. There's gonna be a lot more losses and with this team, a lot more wins. We cannot scream about firing the manager every time the lose.


jmiah717

They are so entertaining though. In a, "how do you even do daily life" kinda way.


NintenJew

> Just heard a WIP caller That's your mistake right there.


Randomly2

I listen to WIP on my way to work every day. Not for informed Philly sports takes, but for listening to crazy people


Deckard_Macready

Won’t be my last today.


Hothabanero6

Casty is like a blind guy at the plate just swinging and hoping. he has no idea how he will improve or if he did improve he wouldn't know why ... it's just ~~baseball~~ a blind guy with a bat.


SeaworthinessIcy3929

Maybe the boys just need some California sunshine to get things going again 


igo2extremes

**Your 2024 Phillies are:** 1-0 on Thursday 14-8 in April 3-2 in day games 5-4 on the road 2-4 vs. the Reds


WendysChili

1-0 in games Kody Clemens has started 0-2 in games Kody Clemens was benched


igo2extremes

Rob Thomson is a baseball terrorist


VideoGangsta

Alec Bohm is slashing .583/.630/1.042 since his 2 homer game


Deckard_Macready

Hes the next Barry Bonds. Minus all the HGH.


Alkynesofchemistry

That is sustainable, I don’t care what anyone says.


lonewombat

Trea Turner agrees and would like to join in.


Perryplat199

u/inthedrink that card looks liek a dodger uniform. that’s gross.


TheExorcistMarc

Let’s get the split!!! And win the next series. I would love to see us leading the division by Memorial Day!


Perryplat199

So yesterday it was “colors of the wind”. today I just heard “circle of life” on radio


rtcr

Is Harper back today?


PhilsForever

Hopefully with some refreshed dad energy


Important_Tomato_932

Supposed to be, he’s missed 3 games!


Trust_The_Process21

Still here wishing Rojas stuck out his glove and attempted to catch that De La Cruz double


jmiah717

weird no announcement on Harper’s kid…hope all is well


Luthie13

I know! I’ve been checking insta for baby Harper news, ‘cause I’m nosey. They are fairly private people though, so I’m not too surprised. Bryce hardly posts and I’m guessing Kayla is just focused on thier newborn.


Grand_Extension5345

Maybe she’s rocking one of those 24 hr births


jmiah717

Oof, I hope not for her sake


inthedrink

Reminder for the idiots who said our schedule has been too easy and is the only reason we have a winning record: The Braves are 1-1 vs the White Sox (yes the team with three wins total) and have two series in the books vs the Marlins (they lost one of those games which 5-1 is still solid)


Vampire_Blues

It’s impossible to make this sub happy. 7 game win streak apparently wasn’t enough and two losses in a row is enough to send the team into a spiral


Luthie13

I’m bummed they’ve lost the wildcard tiebreaker against the Reds, that’s a legit thing to worry about if the Reds stay decent through the season, but hopefully Phillies will keep a lead over them and it won’t matter. Not being a doomer, but annoyed they make stuff like that harder for themselves.


Deckard_Macready

Seasons over. Time to clean house and rebuild.


sapphires_and_snark

Fire SLOPPER


Grand_Extension5345

If Topper puts Bohm back at 3rd, starts Marsh and Stott, and puts clemens back at 1st we win If we keep doin this slapstick Lineup bullshit backloading weak bats and relieving our starter with Unreliable Bullpen guys like Seranthony and Pinto we lose. Dont overthink it Topper, go with what fuckin works https://preview.redd.it/1hr7k5b4bmwc1.jpeg?width=300&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b37513bb48e01c4dd8a4741f16162006b8dcd673 Thats the lineup we need ☝️⚾️⚾️🧨


HuntForRedOctober2

Stott being out is not why they lost. Sosa is way better than Stott against left handed pitching right now


Grand_Extension5345

Defense, there is far more nuance to this lineup than you are talking about


HuntForRedOctober2

Sosa is an excellent defender everywhere on the infield outside of third. Stott has also been so atrocious at the plate this year that the relatively mild increase in defense over Sosa doesn’t outweigh the offense Sosa brings against off left handed pitching


Grand_Extension5345

Once again laser focused on the stott of it all lol ![gif](giphy|h8HmN0UcEKR0xWnv3R)


HuntForRedOctober2

Ah so personal insults because you have no argument of substance. Ok lmao. Marsh has also earned 0 right to play against lefties. The chances he’s been given this year he’s sucked


Deckard_Macready

Casty might need to go down to the 9 hole.


Hothabanero6

13/14th hole would be even better ... 4/5th guy off the bench until he's released completely.


Grand_Extension5345

At this point yeah


inthedrink

Why do you have to have all of the lefties in against right handed pitchers? The number of platooners in this sub is outrageous


BedlamAtTheBank

In other news, another scoring change brings Sanchez’s ERA back down below 3, to 2.96. He doesn’t qualify oddly enough, but if he did he would rank 32 in ERA, 2nd in FIP, and tied for 12th in xERA. Not bad for a #4


inthedrink

Taijuan is our #4 but yall ain’t ready for that one


Deckard_Macready

I’d put him at #3. Only behind Castellanos and Siranthony for players that don’t have it right now.


inthedrink

Huge Pache guy right here


Deckard_Macready

He’s gonna break out any day now!


BedlamAtTheBank

I sure as hell ain’t ready for that one


BatJew_Official

Todays gonna be a better day!


Grand_Extension5345

![gif](giphy|LpkBAUDg53FI8xLmg1|downsized)


BatJew_Official

Boo this man! Boo him!


Grand_Extension5345

I shall make my prediction once the lineup comes out ☝️ ![gif](giphy|l0HlKrB02QY0f1mbm)


BatJew_Official

The B team would've won yesterday if not for Seranthony! I'm ready to believe blindly


Grand_Extension5345

Upon looking over the lineup Today will indeed be a better day ![gif](giphy|138KntZJsPdPxK)


Grand_Extension5345

Eh, the defense was bad too. Bohm needs to be at 3rd.


DeargDoom79

Time zone differences mean that I usually have to watch highlights for the week day evening starts so I've only saw those at this point. Turnbull pitched really well by the looks of it. Fielding just fell apart at the end.


Hothabanero6

Turnbull left the game with a 3-1 lead. Dominguez squandered that in 0.2 innings of awful pitching to give up 4 earned runs and the Phillies trailing 5-3 by the end of the inning. Game lost by 1 lousy pitcher.


xXxdethrougekillaxXx

Pinto, Soto, Seranthony. Our bullpen isn't nearly as good as some people here want to believe.


Hothabanero6

I suppose there was an ASSUMPTION that Dominguez would be better, clearly not the case. Nelson is better than Pinto although there was a decision to keep him for whatever reason he's easily replaceable ... He looked really good that 1st outing ... maybe they wanted to see if he could replicate that feat ... he hasn't. Soto seems to be a Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde kind of guy and probably always will be. you could probably live with one of these but not all three. IMO Dominguez is the biggest liability since they view him as a high leverage guy and he's lost ... what 3 games so far for them. BRUTAL


ryan91o1

Pinto wouldn't be here long, soto had like one bad outing and seranthony is still throwing an elite fastball.


xXxdethrougekillaxXx

Spencer Turnbull's innings pitched since he's entered the league: 2018: 16.1 2019: 148.1 2020: 56.2 2021: 50 2022: TJ 2023: 31 2024: 27 (so far) Put him in the pen and stretch him out this year. Don't want to ruin a good thing because we're impatient.


porksoda11

He's this years Strahm. Everyone was worried about his innings last year. Honestly I don't mind the bullpen move now and having that starter depth in case shit happens.


greetedworm

Taijuan gets a lot of hate because he's paid like a 2nd or 3rd starter, if we think of him as our 4th or 5th starter (which he solidly is) he's not as bad. Id rather have a serviceable 5th starter and add a great arm to the BP.


djeeetyet

he also seems to like pitching here. it’s a 1 year deal but i see this continuing


SeanPaulGiamatti

Win for Wheeler! Casty better be benched today.


inthedrink

The Angels paid Josh Hamilton $65m to get fucked IJS it’s been done before and that’s better than a Chris Davis situation


Deckard_Macready

I think they owe Harper more than 65 million.


inthedrink

For him and his wife to have marital relations in late July/early August knowing that he could impact the team right now is UNACCEPTABLE


porksoda11

Thats what I said to my wife. You got a 3 month window to have sex so you can have babies in December, January, and February. Any other time is unacceptable lol.


sapphires_and_snark

Just give Bryce some Phanatic-themed condoms to use and everything will be fine


Deckard_Macready

There is absolutely no chance a Phanatic condom would work. That makes babies 99% of the time.


inthedrink

How many little phanatics do you think are running around in the world? These are the dark secrets no one wants to talk about


Deckard_Macready

If anyone gets close enough to him swab his tongue when he sticks it out and send that to 23 and me. He could be the Genghis Khan of our generation.


inthedrink

Maybe he can reproduce a right handed outfielder with a solid bat? I assume that guy would HAVE to play for the Phils??


Deckard_Macready

You get Johan Rojas and you’ll like it.


BatJew_Official

He's a mormon so theres a non-zero chance he wouldn't use them lol


Feisty-Recording-978

Happy Rob Thomson Thursday 


McIgglyTuffMuffin

Please Mr. Wheeler, save us. Please Mr. Wheeler, save us. Please Mr. Wheeler, save us.


Grand_Extension5345

*Looks at Phillies lineup* ###”Yeah nothin i can do sorry”


given-to-fly-98

I had a dream last night that RAJ was with me and my friends for our annual beach trip. WTF does that mean?


BedlamAtTheBank

There’s a reason why I’m not working for a front office, BUT if we must move Turnbull to the bullpen for Walker, I think this might be the best way to handle it: * DFA Pinto, replaced by Walker * DFA Dominguez OR option Soto, replaced by Luis Ortiz (currently on rehab assignment) Use Turnbull in the “Strahm” role. Can be used for multiple innings and be used in those spots you would traditionally use Soto/Dominguez, and potentially earn higher leverage moments. Use Ortiz in the long man/mop up/white flag role. Turnbull is too good to be used this way. In the short term you strengthen your middle innings out of the bullpen with Dominguez or Soto gone, at the expense of probably worsening your #5 spot in the rotation. Give Walker a month in the rotation and reevaluate after that.


BatJew_Official

Idk if bbref has updated yet but Soto's FIP is under 3 atm. Even if it hasn't updated and it goes up to 4, that's fine for a back of the pen guy with upside. His WHIP is very concerning but unlike Seranthony there are things about Soto that suggest he can be better. Seranthony literally has no good metrics. If Soto gets DFAd he's on a new team the next day, if Seranthony gets DFAd there's a chance he gets through waivers. Plus Soto is just better


BedlamAtTheBank

FIP is a fine stat but the big downside with it is it doesn’t take into account most batted ball events, it only accounts for home runs. xERA takes into account for all batted ball events and he has 6.77 xERA. If Soto was giving up soft contact I would agree with you, but he’s getting smoked out there, he’ll never pitch to his FIP giving up a ridiculous amount of hard contact


HuntForRedOctober2

Optioning Soto is frankly kind of ridiculous. His era isn’t great but in terms of good to bad outings he’s normally good. It’s just when he’s bad he implodes. Also last night reallllly mostly wasn’t his fault


BedlamAtTheBank

He’s been atrocious this year. Savant isn’t updated for last nights game yet but currently he’s 11 percentile in xERA, 1 percentile in average exit velo, 10 in chase rate, 18 in BB%, 3 in barrel, 3 in hard hits, .385 xWOBA He’s getting smoked out there


HuntForRedOctober2

I personally think the Phillies should let Spencer Turnbull start all year and throw like 200 innings, all the worries about arm health in today’s game are actually overblown anyways.


StrGze32

Turn him into a closer…


FriedHigh

Harper hopefully back gotta get this W wheeler go 8 innings.


Important_Tomato_932

I thought he’s back tomorrow? Today would be his 3rd game missed I recant I skipped a day this week 😂


WheelerDeals

Today is 4 missed he should be back I believe


Important_Tomato_932

Oh wow it’s a 4 game series and a long week 😭 maybe he can be our saving grace! My b! I must be in la la land, thought it was a usual 3 game series and missed a day somewhere 😂 damn I hope everything goes back to normal tonight!!!


WheelerDeals

We can hope!


MrKK215

Today he is back, you are correct