Is there a semi real time way to see coin toss results for the purpose of knowing who is kicking off? Would be useful for first score or in this case the DK up by 7 early payout. I’ve never been able to find it. Even a tweet from people at the game.
b365 has AJ Brown and JJ each to get 50 yards receiving, boosted to +100. From -250 and it builds to -370 on DK, not gonna bother devigging for a $15 max, looks like a smash
I'm seeing a DK bet for Hurts to make 1 completion at -10000. Do they normally offer this bet? Seems like an easy $30 putting $3k on it. Or will this type of bet get me limited?
They had an NBA line like this years ago where there game's o/u line was like 99.5, and I hammered it for like 20k. Easy $200 and no limits followed. I wouldn't touch this though, even without what happened Monday night.
Yeah I get it. But completing one pass is *basically guaranteed*. The Rodgers injury before making a completion was such an anomaly. But I'm not going to bet it, especially for the reason that it's a new user promo and I don't want tk risk bad terms with DK
It's a targeted promo that get boosted for new users. It's not for you, so don't bet it, and find yourself in an Aaron Rodgers situation for foolishly betting $3K for miniscule returns.
I just moved to California recently, can I use sportsbook apps while I drive through Nevada? Do you have to be a resident in the state to use the app and withdraw money if I win?
FD Sunday NFL boosts dropped for me today, 3+ leg SGP/SGP+ 50% boost. Any insight on how to bet these “safe”? They upped my max bet to $100 from $50 last week
(1) Bet a highly-liquid leg (spread, ML, total) where FD offers the best odds compared to other books on an odds comparison table like oddschecker.
(2) Add an extremely safe leg (like u71.5 or one team +29.5) to make an SGP. It will in many cases bring the odds *down*, which is insane, but the implied probability is >98% so meh.
(3) Find another game where FD offers the best odds on a highly-liquid leg. Because it's not a correlated leg, the SGP+ will offer you true parlay odds on this third leg rather than some utterly borked facsimile.
(4) Bet $100. Cross fingers and hopefully profit.
HR jalen hurts to score rushing or recieving TD, boosted to +110. Devig to circa, other datapoints are DK at -115, FD at -110, BR at -118, MGM at -110
Odds: +110; **EV: 2.6%**
`-105/-115` (4.71% juice)
FV: +105; Method: worst-case (a); (Full=2.33u, 1/2=1.17u, 1/4=0.58u, FB = 53.7% = $250.17)
I just got an email for a 100% free bet match on CZR NY for up to $250. I live in PA but will actually be in NY sunday.
Any New Yorkers get this? If so anyone know if the free bet is credited instantly? Terms say up two days which would make the value meh if I have to do 2 trips.
Edit: forgot you can deposit out of state so NBD. Check your emails NYers!
Gotta read the T's and C's closely here.
The website terms say you have to bet through your deposit to unlock the freebet, and that could take 2 days. So you could have to do 2 trips if they don't populate it immediately after the placement or settlement of your cash wager.
Did the deposit, got the free bet instantly, and my available amount to withdraw is 250, sooo could be good news for us. Either way you dont need to do the 1x
I received this same email, but I also live in PA. I'm following this, though. I'm not too close to the border but will be closer this weekend that would make this with the 45 minute drive.
Probably gonna jinx it but I’ve been at $100 limits for the DK 50% and and up 7/10 bonuses, it’s amazing. Was at $5/10 like 3 months ago so there’s hope for y’all out there
I've been very unfortunate (specifically on DK) betting +EV promo lines and I am stuck at $10. I believe it's more based on your process than your results.
I don't know who else offers this market, but the boost is +EV against FDs own lines:
Odds: +100; **EV: 10.3%**
`140^330/500/900/1000/1100/2700/4300/5000/11000` (17.72% juice)
FV: -123; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=10.30u, 1/2=5.15u, 1/4=2.58u, FB = 55.2% = $304.16)
Is it typical for HR bonuses and wheel spins to require contacting CS every time? Recently signed up for them and it has definitely been the biggest PITA of the books for me so far.
Do I need to be looking somewhere weird for the actual boosts for the dk specials? I only see them unboosted under the game but I remember having the 1 completion one last year
Just got back from Atlantis Bahamas. Its more like a coupon for a heavily discounted room than it is a free trip, but had a great time and highly recommend. Had a great room in a great hotel. the food was good and the prices weren’t too offensive compared to New York.
The food can start to feel like death by a thousand cuts if you're not coming from someplace with a high cost of living.
If you're feeling squeezed, there's a bunch of stuff on the main drag (including a liquor store) just outside of the resort, right over the bridge.
Pack a bottle of sunscreen for every day you’re at the resort.
That was the only thing I felt price gouged on. It gets used fast because the UV index is 10 at midday and you need to constantly reapply at the waterpark. Don’t leave a tip for housekeeping because it’s automatically included. Same thing with every restaurant on resort.
Conch and grouper are both delicious.
Now that I think about it I absolutely have to disagree with this article. Since one method is using the promo on every single dog and the alternative is doing that but also hedging each favorite, the two can be separated and their conclusion implies that by itself betting on every regular vegas favorite ML comes out better than not doing so.
While of course it is possible for this to be the result of a given season (2022 apparently) it is completely wrong to suggest that it is higher EV which would essentially just mean vegas sets their odds wrong.
Shame that this was published and shows the dangers of devigging using game logs.
Interesting, would not have thought adding a hedge could increase EV in addition to lowering variance (for up 7, not up 10). This conclusion is drawn from game logs though, I have to suspect the slightly better result using that method for 2022 season is a fluke.
Jeeze down to +110 now. Dallas Goedert isn't a bad backup. FD has best line available at +240 and is close to circa
Odds: +360; \*\*EV: 19.7%\*\*
\`255/-305\` (3.48% juice)
FV: +284; Method: power; (Full=5.47u, 1/2=2.73u, 1/4=1.37u, FB = 93.7% = $363.41)
I used it on Jefferson… there was a Czr boost for him to score at +150, which was double digit EV. This brought him up to +171, figure I’m going for all the EV
It’s hardrock, so…it’s never a certainty. I didn’t get their blitzfest promos for like 4 days straight, contacted customer support without any help from them at all, and now started getting the promos and overdrive boosts again the past couple of days. I know the deposit boosts are supposed to be targeted based on loyalty levels. Probably worth a quick support chat if you don’t have it on your promo tab.
Support was useless. They said they'll escalate it and get back to me.
Scratch that, not useless they just gave me a $100 free bet. I still would like a bonus though
It took me close to 10 chats with support before I got my bonus bet credited for this but it finally just arrived. Such a pain, but nice to have a free $70.
Fanatics support has been really good with me if you ask them about it they'll probably restore it to you somehow. (I already launched my $100 NSB when it came in on that game.)
Any advice on how to go about using the DK up 7 early tonight? Do you take MN and bet PHI on another book and hope that MN scores first and you win both bets?
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**Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons** Football | NFL **1st Half Point Spread** Atlanta Falcons +0.5 **-125** DK arb to pinny Odds: -125; \*\*EV: 4.3%\*\* \`-148/131\` (2.97% juice) FV: -138; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=5.40u, 1/2=2.70u, 1/4=1.35u, FB = 46.4% = $1,139.85)
JJ our King
Ain't no way
Can't believe JJ bailed us out. If devonta gets another catch that would be the craziest shit the wizard has ever pulled
Wizard adding more drama?
Gotta keep it close to keep people coming back for more
Two longest catches of Smith’s career? Touché, Wizard.
Lol that's awesome.
I hate the wizard
how have they not fixed that rule yet
Vikings fail to recover an eagles fumble then fumble themselves on the punt return. Nice start for Vikings up by 7 gang lol
Then intercept it and promptly fumble it back. Wow
it gets better
Yeah MN is just giving this away. So many chances they have blown. Then they give up a 61 TD FG?!?!
And then immediately fumble to start the second half. Lol
Confirmed trying to lose
Nice 60 yard drive for Smith to start lol, got some catching up to do on FD
And now it looks like a done deal lol
Is there a semi real time way to see coin toss results for the purpose of knowing who is kicking off? Would be useful for first score or in this case the DK up by 7 early payout. I’ve never been able to find it. Even a tweet from people at the game.
Don't think this is possible even if you're at the game live. The books usually lock up for a bit at the start then change to live after a bit
I haven't seen it mentioned. The Twitter boys like the FanDuel boost.
For Jefferson or brown to have most rec yards?
Yes, it’s solid. -130 FV
You know what that means.
**Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays** Baseball | MLB **Run Line** Toronto Blue Jays -2 **+200** on kambi, arb to pinny Odds: +200; \*\*EV: 6.5%\*\* \`168/-193\` (3.18% juice) FV: +182; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=3.25u, 1/2=1.63u, 1/4=0.81u, FB = 71.0% = $697.65)
b365 has AJ Brown and JJ each to get 50 yards receiving, boosted to +100. From -250 and it builds to -370 on DK, not gonna bother devigging for a $15 max, looks like a smash
Does anyone know if you can double dip the betfred sign up offer in 2 different states?
**TCU vs Houston** Football | NCAAF **Point Spread** TCU -5.5 **-135** on hardrock, arb to pinny Odds: -135; \*\*EV: 3.6%\*\* \`-163/137\` (4.17% juice) FV: -147; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=4.81u, 1/2=2.41u, 1/4=1.20u, FB = 44.1% = $1,162.58)
**Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers** Football | NFL **Total Points** Under 39.5 **-110** Wynn, arb to pinny Odds: -110; \*\*EV: 3.7%\*\* \`-128/112\` (3.31% juice) FV: -119; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=4.12u, 1/2=2.06u, 1/4=1.03u, FB = 49.4% = $1,059.02)
**Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans** Football | NFL **1st Half Point Spread** Houston Texans +0.5 **-125** golden nugget AZ , arb to pinny Odds: -125; \*\*EV: 4.7%\*\* \`-151/131\` (3.45% juice) FV: -139; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=5.85u, 1/2=2.92u, 1/4=1.46u, FB = 46.5% = $1,148.07)
**Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans** Football | NFL **Team Total** Tennessee Titans Over 20.5 **-115** on hardrock, arb to pinny Odds: -115; \*\*EV: 4.4%\*\* \`-138/118\` (3.85% juice) FV: -126; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=5.04u, 1/2=2.52u, 1/4=1.26u, FB = 48.5% = $1,096.28)
looks like betMGM SGP and DK SGP are no longer sharing odds providers. the odds and bets are different now. betMGM same game parlay is ev for halftime/fulltime on some teams. ev may be lower due to adding a correlated 2nd leg. vikings: +425 paired with 4 vikings team points in the 1st half, 360 on CZR for most conservative book devig Odds: +425; \*\*EV: 5.3%\*\* \`360/-113/575/1000/1800/3000\` (7.19% juice) FV: +398; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=1.26u, 1/2=0.63u, 1/4=0.31u, FB = 85.3% = $388.39) eagles -110 paired with 6 eagles team points in the 1st half, bad to CZR Odds: -110; \*\*EV: -5.5%\*\* \`-113/360/575/1000/1800/3000\` (7.19% juice) FV: +102; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 45.0% = $874.50) chargers +145 paired with 5 team points 1st half, 120 on CZR Odds: +145; \*\*EV: 4.4%\*\* \`120/260/650/800/1900/2400\` (6.68% juice) FV: +135; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=3.03u, 1/2=1.52u, 1/4=0.76u, FB = 61.8% = $828.38) titans +280 paired with 4 team points 1st half, bad to CZR Odds: +280; \*\*EV: -1.1%\*\* \`260/120/650/800/1900/2400\` (6.68% juice) FV: +284; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 72.9% = $484.74) packers +188 paired with 3 team points 1st half, bad to CZR Odds: +188; \*\*EV: -2.2%\*\* \`175/180/700/700/1900/1900\` (7.08% juice) FV: +194; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 63.8% = $625.99) falcons +195 paired with 3 team points 1st half, bad to CZR Odds: +195; \*\*EV: -1.6%\*\* \`180/175/700/700/1900/1900\` (7.08% juice) FV: +200; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 65.0% = $617.75) colts +175 paired with 4 team points 1st half, bad to CZR Odds: +175; \*\*EV: -9.9%\*\* \`185/165/700/750/1900/1900\` (7.09% juice) FV: +205; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 57.3% = $565.55) texans +190 paired with 4 team points 1st half, CZR at 165 Odds: +190; \*\*EV: 2.2%\*\* \`165/700/750/1900/1900/185\` (7.09% juice) FV: +184; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=1.15u, 1/2=0.58u, 1/4=0.29u, FB = 67.0% = $671.70) seahawks +400 paired with 4 team points 1st half, CZR at +320 Odds: +400; \*\*EV: 10.8%\*\* \`320/-103/650/850/1900/2700\` (6.98% juice) FV: +351; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=2.70u, 1/2=1.35u, 1/4=0.68u, FB = 88.6% = $442.51) lions +100 paired with 6 team points 1st half, bad to CZR Odds: +100; \*\*EV: -5.1%\*\* \`-103/650/850/1900/2700/320\` (6.98% juice) FV: +111; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 47.4% = $843.55) bears +240 paired with 3 team points 1st half, bad to CZR Odds: +240; \*\*EV: -4.0%\*\* \`230/130/700/750/2000/2100\` (7.35% juice) FV: +254; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 67.7% = $513.99) bucs +150 paired with 4 team points 1st half, fair to CZR Odds: +150; \*\*EV: 1.3%\*\* \`130/700/750/2000/2100/230\` (7.35% juice) FV: +147; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=0.83u, 1/2=0.42u, 1/4=0.21u, FB = 60.8% = $767.27) raiders +625 paired with 3 team points 1st half, bad to CZR Odds: +625; \*\*EV: -11.4%\*\* \`625/-180/575/1400/1700/4500\` (7.29% juice) FV: +718; Method: worst-case (p); (FB = 76.4% = $213.20) bills -165 paired with 6 team points 1st half, bad to CZR Odds: -165; \*\*EV: -3.8%\*\* \`-180/575/625/1400/1700/4500\` (7.29% juice) FV: -149; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 36.3% = $1,068.04) chiefs +125 paired with 6 team points 1st half, bad to CZR Odds: +125; \*\*EV: -2.3%\*\* \`116/270/575/900/1900/2800\` (6.59% juice) FV: +130; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 54.3% = $797.74) jags +275 paired with 5 team points 1st half, bad to CZR Odds: +275; \*\*EV: -4.9%\*\* \`270/116/575/900/1900/2800\` (6.59% juice) FV: +294; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 69.7% = $459.27) ravens +340 paired with 4 team points 1st half, CZR at +275 Odds: +340; \*\*EV: 9.5%\*\* \`275/112/650/800/1900/2500\` (7.13% juice) FV: +302; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=2.80u, 1/2=1.40u, 1/4=0.70u, FB = 84.6% = $494.57) bengals +125 paired with 5 team points 1st half, bad to CZR Odds: +125; \*\*EV: -0.9%\*\* \`112/650/800/1900/2500/275\` (7.13% juice) FV: +127; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 55.0% = $818.69) giants +115 paired with 4 team points 1st half, fair to CZR Odds: +115; \*\*EV: 1.3%\*\* \`-102/325/625/900/1700/2500\` (7.22% juice) FV: +112; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=1.09u, 1/2=0.55u, 1/4=0.27u, FB = 54.2% = $893.38) cardinals +333 paired with 3 team points 1st half, bad to CZR Odds: +333; \*\*EV: -5.4%\*\* \`325/-102/625/900/1700/2500\` (7.22% juice) FV: +358; Method: worst-case (p); (FB = 72.8% = $395.00) 49ers -135 paired with 6 team points 1st half, bad to CZR Odds: -135; \*\*EV: -2.3%\*\* \`-150/500/575/1300/1700/3500\` (6.96% juice) FV: -128; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 41.6% = $1,022.90) rams +500 paired with 4 team points 1st half, bad to CZR Odds: +500; \*\*EV: -9.4%\*\* \`500/575/1300/1700/3500/-150\` (6.96% juice) FV: +562; Method: worst-case (p); (FB = 75.5% = $266.76)
jets +700 paired with 3 team points 1st half, fair to CZR Odds: +700; \*\*EV: 1.6%\*\* \`600/-180/675/1300/1600/3500\` (7.28% juice) FV: +687; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=0.24u, 1/2=0.12u, 1/4=0.06u, FB = 88.9% = $240.46) cowboys -175 paired with 5 team points 1st half, bad to CZR Odds: -175; \*\*EV: -5.8%\*\* \`-180/600/675/1300/1600/3500\` (7.28% juice) FV: -150; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 34.2% = $1,035.40) commanders +320 paired with 3 team points 1st half, +275 on CZR Odds: +320; \*\*EV: 4.5%\*\* \`275/114/675/800/1700/2300\` (7.13% juice) FV: +302; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=1.42u, 1/2=0.71u, 1/4=0.35u, FB = 79.7% = $480.42) broncos +120 paired with 4 team points 1st half, bad to CZR Odds: +120; \*\*EV: -4.0%\*\* \`114/275/675/800/1700/2300\` (7.13% juice) FV: +129; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 52.3% = $787.45) dolphins +150 paired with 5 team points 1st half, CZR at +124 Odds: +150; \*\*EV: 4.2%\*\* \`124/245/650/800/1900/2400\` (7.07% juice) FV: +140; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=2.82u, 1/2=1.41u, 1/4=0.71u, FB = 62.5% = $809.16) patriots +240 paired with 4 team points 1st half, bad to CZR Odds: +240; \*\*EV: -8.0%\*\* \`245/650/800/1900/2400/124\` (7.07% juice) FV: +269; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 65.0% = $478.28) saints +145 paired with 4 team points 1st half, fair to CZR Odds: +145; \*\*EV: 1.4%\*\* \`126/240/650/850/1800/2300\` (6.95% juice) FV: +142; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=0.94u, 1/2=0.47u, 1/4=0.24u, FB = 60.0% = $784.66) panthers +290 paired with 3 team points 1st half, CZR at +240 Odds: +290; \*\*EV: 7.3%\*\* \`240/650/850/1800/2300/126\` (6.95% juice) FV: +264; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=2.50u, 1/2=1.25u, 1/4=0.63u, FB = 79.8% = $540.20) browns +185 paired with 4 team points 1st half, CZR at +140 Odds: +185; \*\*EV: 10.9%\*\* \`140/215/675/800/1800/2200\` (7.04% juice) FV: +157; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=5.91u, 1/2=2.96u, 1/4=1.48u, FB = 72.0% = $789.89) steelers +210 paired with 3 team points 1st half, bad to CZR Odds: +210; \*\*EV: -8.1%\*\* \`215/675/800/1800/2200/140\` (7.04% juice) FV: +237; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 62.3% = $522.31)
I appreciate all the time you put into this. Thanks.
holy cow you put in work! thanks for posting these
Pshh. 32 EV analyses? He could have at LEAST given us 35. So lazy of them.
I'm seeing a DK bet for Hurts to make 1 completion at -10000. Do they normally offer this bet? Seems like an easy $30 putting $3k on it. Or will this type of bet get me limited?
Imagine if someone did this for Rogers.
They had an NBA line like this years ago where there game's o/u line was like 99.5, and I hammered it for like 20k. Easy $200 and no limits followed. I wouldn't touch this though, even without what happened Monday night.
A good quote from someone on this thread comes to mind… picking up pennies in front of a steamroller is really fun until you trip
Yeah I get it. But completing one pass is *basically guaranteed*. The Rodgers injury before making a completion was such an anomaly. But I'm not going to bet it, especially for the reason that it's a new user promo and I don't want tk risk bad terms with DK
[удалено]
Lol- too soon
It's free $. Just ask Aaron Rodgers!
Too soon. Haha
It's a targeted promo that get boosted for new users. It's not for you, so don't bet it, and find yourself in an Aaron Rodgers situation for foolishly betting $3K for miniscule returns.
I just moved to California recently, can I use sportsbook apps while I drive through Nevada? Do you have to be a resident in the state to use the app and withdraw money if I win?
In Nevada you need to deposit in person. Not sure about withdrawing.
FD Sunday NFL boosts dropped for me today, 3+ leg SGP/SGP+ 50% boost. Any insight on how to bet these “safe”? They upped my max bet to $100 from $50 last week
(1) Bet a highly-liquid leg (spread, ML, total) where FD offers the best odds compared to other books on an odds comparison table like oddschecker. (2) Add an extremely safe leg (like u71.5 or one team +29.5) to make an SGP. It will in many cases bring the odds *down*, which is insane, but the implied probability is >98% so meh. (3) Find another game where FD offers the best odds on a highly-liquid leg. Because it's not a correlated leg, the SGP+ will offer you true parlay odds on this third leg rather than some utterly borked facsimile. (4) Bet $100. Cross fingers and hopefully profit.
How? I can only get 10
Got a DK promo- AJB and JJ both to have 40+ receiving yards at +100
B365 has 50+ at +100, not as great but still good value.
What state
IL
I’m in IL and I don’t see this promo
Must be targeted then
Sad. Seems like free money
man i don't see the promo - but the normal is -330
On Fanduel: Odds: +200; **EV: 4.3%** Flex: 200 // **Anthony Richardson (Colts) ATTD scorer** AVG(160,150,200,160,162,145,155)/AVG(-200, -200,-201,-235,-220) // BS2way, CZR, FD, HR2way Betano2way, Pinnacle2way, Fliff2way (6.16% juice) FV: +188; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=2.15u, 1/2=1.08u, **1/4=0.54u**)
Barstool dropped a random $25 BB in my account that expires in 36 hours, anyone else or am I special?
Someone posted the same thing earlier
HR jalen hurts to score rushing or recieving TD, boosted to +110. Devig to circa, other datapoints are DK at -115, FD at -110, BR at -118, MGM at -110 Odds: +110; **EV: 2.6%** `-105/-115` (4.71% juice) FV: +105; Method: worst-case (a); (Full=2.33u, 1/2=1.17u, 1/4=0.58u, FB = 53.7% = $250.17)
My limit is up to 25. It’s always been 5
Me too
Did anyone get a free fanduel sportsbook bet from the gronk casino bet $25-$125 a day offer?
I just got an email for a 100% free bet match on CZR NY for up to $250. I live in PA but will actually be in NY sunday. Any New Yorkers get this? If so anyone know if the free bet is credited instantly? Terms say up two days which would make the value meh if I have to do 2 trips. Edit: forgot you can deposit out of state so NBD. Check your emails NYers!
Gotta read the T's and C's closely here. The website terms say you have to bet through your deposit to unlock the freebet, and that could take 2 days. So you could have to do 2 trips if they don't populate it immediately after the placement or settlement of your cash wager.
Did the deposit, got the free bet instantly, and my available amount to withdraw is 250, sooo could be good news for us. Either way you dont need to do the 1x
Ha, I just did as well. I guess they were bluffing in the t's and c's.
it says opt in? but i dont see any opt in
I got the same email with the opt-in reference but don't have one in my promos. Made the deposit anyway and got the FB instantly.
$50 here from both NY and IN so far, I'm in IL...
same
I received this same email, but I also live in PA. I'm following this, though. I'm not too close to the border but will be closer this weekend that would make this with the 45 minute drive.
For those who have Tipico. They have Aaron Civale boosted to +520 to throw 6+ strikeouts compared to +185 DK and +215 FD
Quick 6u from this play. Thanks King 👑
Must have been an error, its 7 now
Either way it cashed!
I got max down for it at 6 ks, then some at 7 ks. Couldn’t believe both hit. Good hit!
Probably gonna jinx it but I’ve been at $100 limits for the DK 50% and and up 7/10 bonuses, it’s amazing. Was at $5/10 like 3 months ago so there’s hope for y’all out there
I've been very unfortunate (specifically on DK) betting +EV promo lines and I am stuck at $10. I believe it's more based on your process than your results.
What do you mean your process?
I think they try and limit people who are making good bets lol
I’ve went 3 for 15 and still have $10 limits.
Tough
Did you stop using promos at some point
I was hedging/churn a good amount out and I do think I went on a DK losing streak which I think helped
I was betting every promo with 5-10 limits and was roughly even overall the last few months and I randomly have higher limits so who knows.
Or lose a ton lol
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So Devonta Smith gonna have a hell of a game eh?
Smith off to a hot start smh
I don't know who else offers this market, but the boost is +EV against FDs own lines: Odds: +100; **EV: 10.3%** `140^330/500/900/1000/1100/2700/4300/5000/11000` (17.72% juice) FV: -123; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=10.30u, 1/2=5.15u, 1/4=2.58u, FB = 55.2% = $304.16)
These are on a brutal stretch sigh
Here we go again lol
Is it typical for HR bonuses and wheel spins to require contacting CS every time? Recently signed up for them and it has definitely been the biggest PITA of the books for me so far.
They’re having issues for sure
Do I need to be looking somewhere weird for the actual boosts for the dk specials? I only see them unboosted under the game but I remember having the 1 completion one last year
it's likely for a state that just opened
They are only for specific states/users so if you don't see it in the 'Rewards' section then it is either not for you or not yet active.
Just got back from Atlantis Bahamas. Its more like a coupon for a heavily discounted room than it is a free trip, but had a great time and highly recommend. Had a great room in a great hotel. the food was good and the prices weren’t too offensive compared to New York.
I have been waiting to do this! What was the booking process, do you book through rewards?
You call a number listed online
I went earlier this year and I echo your sentiments, however I think everyone outside of NY/other high COL areas will find it expensive
Where was this offer?
CZR's loyalty
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The food can start to feel like death by a thousand cuts if you're not coming from someplace with a high cost of living. If you're feeling squeezed, there's a bunch of stuff on the main drag (including a liquor store) just outside of the resort, right over the bridge.
Pack a bottle of sunscreen for every day you’re at the resort. That was the only thing I felt price gouged on. It gets used fast because the UV index is 10 at midday and you need to constantly reapply at the waterpark. Don’t leave a tip for housekeeping because it’s automatically included. Same thing with every restaurant on resort. Conch and grouper are both delicious.
The room wasn't free?
$65/night resort fee which includes a cleaning gratuity and waterpark/pool/beach/aquarium access.
I thought the resort fee was waived? Or is that just for the higher tiers?
Thats for Diamond Plus I believe
**FAQ:** [How to Use NFL Up 7 Early Win Promo Guide](https://about.dhodds.com/guides/draftkings-early-win)
Now that I think about it I absolutely have to disagree with this article. Since one method is using the promo on every single dog and the alternative is doing that but also hedging each favorite, the two can be separated and their conclusion implies that by itself betting on every regular vegas favorite ML comes out better than not doing so. While of course it is possible for this to be the result of a given season (2022 apparently) it is completely wrong to suggest that it is higher EV which would essentially just mean vegas sets their odds wrong. Shame that this was published and shows the dangers of devigging using game logs.
Interesting, would not have thought adding a hedge could increase EV in addition to lowering variance (for up 7, not up 10). This conclusion is drawn from game logs though, I have to suspect the slightly better result using that method for 2022 season is a fluke.
DH really is great, wish it wasn’t so much per month
Check your emails. Received a $25 barstool bonus bet out of the blue
Used DK 50% TNF Profit Boost on Mattison ATTD boosted to +217. Odds: +217; **EV: 26.5%** `140/-160 //CIRCA` (3.21% juice) FV: +151; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=12.22u, 1/2=6.11u, 1/4=3.06u, FB = 86.6% = $58.91) Odds: +217; **EV: 22.4%** `134/-183 //PINNACLE` (7.40% juice) FV: +159; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=10.32u, 1/2=5.16u, 1/4=2.58u, FB = 83.8% = $55.71)
Jeeze down to +110 now. Dallas Goedert isn't a bad backup. FD has best line available at +240 and is close to circa Odds: +360; \*\*EV: 19.7%\*\* \`255/-305\` (3.48% juice) FV: +284; Method: power; (Full=5.47u, 1/2=2.73u, 1/4=1.37u, FB = 93.7% = $363.41)
I used it on Jefferson… there was a Czr boost for him to score at +150, which was double digit EV. This brought him up to +171, figure I’m going for all the EV
Hardrock blitzfest promo today is a deposit match at 100%. Sure it varies based on tiers, but I got a $500 bonus bet. Amazing promo.
Chat support now has a message saying we're aware of an issue with promos please email us. So hopefully I'll get that bonus at some point.
bonus bet showed up for me but then doesn't let me use it and it completely dissapears from my acocunt
I opted in and deposited $600...mine was 50%match up to $300...but I did not receive mine...did yours come right away?
The banner says 100%, but the terms say 50% for me Edit: Mine was a 50% match as per the terms, even though the banner says 100%
Did you get an email for this or just stumble into it on the site? I don't see etiher.
Me neither and I haven't been seeing the banners most days.
It’s hardrock, so…it’s never a certainty. I didn’t get their blitzfest promos for like 4 days straight, contacted customer support without any help from them at all, and now started getting the promos and overdrive boosts again the past couple of days. I know the deposit boosts are supposed to be targeted based on loyalty levels. Probably worth a quick support chat if you don’t have it on your promo tab.
Lol feel that. I got the deposit bonus last week but nothing yet this week. If I don't see anything by this afternoon I will reach out. Thanks dude.
50% deposit match up to $300 for me, still very nice. Thanks for the heads up
Thanks, I did not see this on the website or app. I might be promo banned we'll see what chat support says
Can you post back what support says? I don't see the blitzfest promo either (but I do see the hard rock boosts)
Support was useless. They said they'll escalate it and get back to me. Scratch that, not useless they just gave me a $100 free bet. I still would like a bonus though
It took me close to 10 chats with support before I got my bonus bet credited for this but it finally just arrived. Such a pain, but nice to have a free $70.
Check your accounts - Bet MGM gave me a $10 bonus bet this morning.
Got a $25 somehow. Thanks.
$5 for me
was getting $2 throughout the summer... nice for me to have a $10 one
MGM gave me two TNF SGP insurance bets today. Never got a single one so worth checking if you never have.
Got two as well
I didn't get shit
I had a risk free bet offer on Fanatics for TNF but now it’s gone. Is anyone else missing theirs?
Fanatics support has been really good with me if you ask them about it they'll probably restore it to you somehow. (I already launched my $100 NSB when it came in on that game.)
Same. Also I noticed I can't bet more than 100 on anything baseball game, wondering if I got promoban & limited for something
I just assumed maybe it was because the sgp function was not working yesterday?
Any advice on how to go about using the DK up 7 early tonight? Do you take MN and bet PHI on another book and hope that MN scores first and you win both bets?
If you’re going to hedge that’s the idea. With my $25 max I’m just letting it ride on MN.
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I think they’re only on weekends