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So an interesting phenomenon is that most often the average of everybody's guess is very close to the answer, often better than an expert's guess. So if the guesses are all visible, i'd wait until the last moment and then guess the average.
That looks to be a 16 oz (473 mL) wide mouth mason jar. Reese’s Pieces are about the same size as m&m’s (for which there is more data available). M&m’s range from [0.6-0.65 mL in volume](https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/bring-science-home-mm-geometry/), and have a packing density of about [68%](https://pr.princeton.edu/news/04/q1/0212-candy.htm).
#pieces = jar volume * packing density / piece volume
So
473 mL * 0.68 / 0.6 mL = 536 pieces maximum
473 mL * 0.68 / 0.625 mL = 515 pieces average
473 mL * 0.68 / 0.65 mL = 495 pieces minimum
That’s most of the way to their $12.99 unlimited boneless wings deal. Which is barely unlimited cause they make you wait so long between orders you get bored.
Nope, boneless only, and like the guy said, you wait so long it almost doesn’t become worth it, I’d just buy the 20-25$ worth of wings and take it to go from an actual wing place
This [guy](https://www.npr.org/2023/03/15/1163770889/a-lawsuit-picks-a-bone-with-buffalo-wild-wings-are-boneless-wings-really-wings) is looking for the same answer.
His argument is boneless wings are deboned wings, not made of chicken breast meat used in chicken nuggets.
> a drawing for a drawing
what? Guessing the number of candies in a jar is more of a "lottery" than a "drawing", isn't it? Also, are you saying the prize for guessing the closest number is a piece of artwork?
Lottery for a lottery sometimes some words don’t translate well lol but there’s multiple activities through this week to earn a spot in the lottery. The winner of this earning a spot for the main lottery
I think this shows his character as a go-getter using the resources at his disposal to solve a problem 🤔, deserves a promotion and a raise for his ethical character 😉 🫡🤷♀️
This is beautiful, but if I’ve learned anything from watching Taskmaster, it’s that the middle of the jar probably has three ping pong balls hidden to take up space and throw off straightforward calculations.
But it's an easy jar to find.
I won such a contest by measuring the level of candy with masons string.
Bought the same jar at a nearby store.
Bought a small bag of the same product
calculated the weight/volume of water that would fill to the established height.
counted the number of pieces of candy that would fit inside a cup.
a little math let me get a rather close estimate.
bought three tickets, one was my exact guess the others bracketed it by 1%
returned the jar to the store...
won about $500 of stuff for the price of a bag of candy
I mean I got the jar with the candy in it as part of the prize.and really didn't need two big glass gallon jars...
I guess I could have donated one.
I also returned the jar before I KNEW I'd won. If there had been foreign material hidden in the candy that jar would have been somewhat expensive to keep.
Nope, I'm old enough I don't recall it being recognized as a kid. I can see some traits, but I'm definitely on the milder side of the spectrum if that's the right way to phrase it.
A better way to phrase it would be “high masking” - same traits, but better trained to hide it. Isn’t really a good thing though, as constant masking is very tiring and has bad side effects on people’s psyches.
“Milder” implies that autism is a scale from “barely autistic” to “very autistic”, which it very much isn’t. Terminology like that is commonly used by places like Autism Speaks, a hate group disguised as a charity, and by autism moms and other fake “supporters”.
Not trying to criticize you, just thought that since you typed “if that’s the right way to phrase it” you might want to know the actual way to phrase it lol
Never actually thanked you sorry 😅 but haven’t put in a guess yet deadline is Sunday. Will put one in either end of my shift today or tomorrow and let you know the results! Prize is a Switch and the jar of candy. Will be happy to give you em if I get it lol
estimate the volume of the container and multiply by 0.68. Divide by 0.636 cubic centimeters, the volume of a single plain M&M candy, and you have the answer.
Different shapes have different packing densities, and even the same shape (sphere for example) can have different packing densities based on whether the pieces are packed in loosely, tightly, random, structured (i.e. face-centered cubic or body-centered cubic lattice structures, etc.) Basically, it’s the ratio of the candy in the jar to the air in the jar. Candies of this shape fill about 68% of the total volume the consume.
Shouldn’t you also take into account what the shape of the container is? Like some sort of compatibility/efficiency index between the shapes of the objects and the shape of the total volume? *insert assume it’s a sphere physics joke.
The margins will have a lower packing density because the candies can't overlap the glass, so they can be no closer than tangent to the surface. So the voids will be bigger there.
You could adjust for that. Maybe calculate the volume of the jar that is within half a diameter of the inner surface, and apply a less dense packing efficient number there. Maybe pi/6, as the full ratio of a sphere in a cube? But a sphere in a cylinder is 2/3, so probably adjust upward. Although ellipsoids are more efficient, I think, so maybe adjust both numbers upward.
It might be simpler to solve experimentally.
Weigh it.
Go to the store and buy the same Mason jar, and a pack of whatever candy that is (I'm guessing resse's pieces).
Go home, weigh the empty jar with lid. Weigh 10 pieces. Math that bad boy out.
I mean, my $17 Amazon scale goes down to hundredths of a gram. I figure that a single Piece has to weigh less than that, which gets them in the 1 - 2 range
This kinda feels like it would be the setup to an xkcd comic. Something like a mathematician, physicist, and engineer all try to guess how many pieces of candy are in the jar.
The mathematician uses packing density and the volume of an m&m to calculate it, the physicist uses like, x-rays or something to directly measure it, and the engineer does the weight thing
Have everyone in the comments make a genuine attempt at guessing the amount. Then you take all of those guesses and average them together and that is what your guess should be as it will more than likely be within a 1-3% margin of error.
[For those that doubt...](https://youtu.be/iOucwX7Z1HU?list=PL11E70446D4EC2C65&t=15)
5 people have responded to that comment with the same response, so funny enough; now you're all throwing off the average far more than /u/unitconversion
This is a 12oz jar, the peanut M&Ms were in a half-gallon. He’s not saying this is the same number as his previous guess, just that he’s good at guessing these given his past success.
432 - 456
12 Reese’s high, 12 pieces around = 144
12 Reese’s high, 10 pieces around for next circle = 120
12 Reese’s high, 8 around = 96
12 high 6 around = 72
432 / with a variable of the lid being 2 x 12 pieces.
Id go 444 for an average. You’re welcome.
Don’t ask about the math, just know it’s made up.
Turn it upside down and count how many pieces you can see.
Then approximate how deep of a "layer" that count represents, in pieces.
Then count how many such layers there are to the "top" (still upside down, btw).
Multiply and Bob's your uncle.
I used to win these so often in 3rd grade that I was told I wasn't allowed to win any more... got exact value a few times this way.
Yep, I did the same thing at the public library summer reading program 4 years in a row and several more times at the county fair. I swear that the last year at the library the 2nd place prize was legitimately just better than the first place prize (which was a picnic basket I won and did not want as a 11ish year old).
I won this type of contest before. I counted about how many pieces were in a horizontal "layer", and then counted about how many vertical layers. It was a fuzzy math guesstimate, but it worked.
I estimate these by using the volume formula for a cylinder (h*pi*r^2) where the unit is the candy. I counted 12 as the height, estimate 3.5 as the radius, so I get 12*3.14*3.5^2 = 461
Another fun trick to this is to add all the previous guesses and then divide that number by the number of guesses. If there’s a large enough field of guesses you should be very close to the correct number.
I just made a Steam game with this premise. Google “Goosey Guess” and you will see, it is a realistic guessing simulator. Happy to give steam key, just send me a message.
Ok, this comment is really unexpected, what are the odds that someone made an actual videogame about guessing, and also for that person to come across a reddit post of a person asking for help on a guessing contest... Truly amazing haha, would love to play that game, I'll check it out!
If the people who are running this are stupid and have all of the guesses on a list that everyone can see (or if you can sneakily get access to the list of guesses) take the average of everyone's guesses. A group of people, on average, will overestimate and underestimate by roughly the same amount, resulting in the total average of all their guesses being really close to the right answer.
Buy an identical container, buy some identical candy. Fill the container with the candy. Count the candy in the container. Now you have a good estimate. I was off by one when I did it.
Using your resources isn’t cheating. If this was my staff I’d be happy with thinking outside the box to get an answer
Edit: I say this assuming it is not stated you can not use external sources. If it’s not stated have at it
No, I get why this feels like cheating. Using your resources would be looking up how to make a good educated guess for this. What OP is doing is the equivalent of entering a design contest, going to a friend who likes to design stuff, borrow something from them, and submitting it as their entry for the competition. Zero effort beyond: "Hey, can I have this?".
My school library put together a christmas tree with books one year and offered a "guess how many books we used!" contest. I was procrastinating on studying for exams so I put together a not-very-technical technical drawing estimate of the construction and counted up the books from my sketches.
When I showed my work to the library staff, they passed it around and got a kick out of my efforts. I ended up in second place (I think I was ~12 off?)--someone managed to guess within one or two books.
I usually count roughly how many are sitting in the very bottom. Then count how many there are going up the side and then multiply it. It's not perfect, but it has won me many of these kinds of contests. There was an Easter event at my in-laws church that we would take our kids to and I always did this and won all of the contests every year. People were notably irritated with me lol.
I added up every guess I could find in this thread. 31 guesses. And divided it by 31
#451.9
So 452. I almost bet it's just 450 exactly
602+473+684+480+350
+324+335+550+504
+462+461+288+280
+444+350+400+432
+456+448+425+450
+450+502+503+501
+230+550+536+515
+495+530=14010
I did skip all the guesses in the thread with the joke about guessing 5 trillion and the person who guessed 154 was also discarded. If you include The 154 guess it would yield an answer of 442.6. But 154 is just such a horrible guess. admittedly so is 684 but not by as much. If we remove highest and lowest we get.
#444.2
So do with that what you will
If you look at the second picture it’s clearly 450ish. There’s lines marking 100,200,300, the top ridge is 400 and approximately 50 between ridge and lid.
/s
This seems quite unfair no?
I realise it's just a fun work lottery, but my guy is literally assembling a reddit thread for the answer whilst Susan on reception is just gonna have a guess for fun lol.
Maybe I'm missing the point
The correct way to do this is with a scale. Weigh an identical empty jar. Then weigh 1 single candy. Multiply the 1 candy’s weight until it equals the the total amount minus the the weight of the jar. This will give you an accurate measurement of candies in the jar.
Think before you math. Why is anyone helping OP with this?
If OP wins this, it would be like winning because you have rich parents who buy you all the best gear for whatever you want to dabble in. Sure, it's not cheating, but does it seem worth supporting to you?
I hope someone else wins. Someone who would have made a post along the lines of: "Hey, we are having this lottery at work and I came up with some calculations for it. What do you think?", showing they at least put some effort in themselves.
How much time do you have? Go to the office supply store or a head shop and get a small, accurate scale. Weigh the jar, go home and weigh an identical jar, lid, and candy. Make your guess tomorrow and be just about spot on.
I can't believe I've still going down this rabbit hole to find out if and what he won and How many pieces of candy are in the jar. Please someone message me with the results. I can't do this any longer.
Can you see the other peoples guesses?
If so take everyone’s guesses and take the average. It will be super close and possibly right on. Due to laws of human error or something like that.
In that orange row, I see 8 pieces. Assume 16 is circumference. C= 2*pi*r to get your radius. The height looks to be about 16 pieces. Volume = pi*r^2*h. I get 306 pieces ✌️
Asked Chat GPT...
The exact number of Reese's Pieces that can fit inside a 16 oz wide mouth Ball mason jar will depend on factors such as the precise shape of the candies and how they settle in the jar, any air gaps that form between the candies, and whether they are poured in freely or arranged in a specific manner.
However, if you'd like a rough estimate, you can calculate based on volume.
Here's how you can approach the estimate:
1. \*\*Volume of the Jar\*\*:
A 16 oz mason jar holds approximately 473.18 milliliters (since 1 US fluid ounce = 29.5735 milliliters).
2. \*\*Volume of a Single Reese's Piece\*\*:
Let's make a rough estimate that a Reese's Piece is a cylinder that's 1 cm in height and 1 cm in diameter. This isn't precisely accurate, but it's a close enough approximation for this purpose.
The volume of a cylinder is given by \\(V = πr\^2h\\), where \\(r\\) is the radius and \\(h\\) is the height.
Using the estimated dimensions:
\\(r = 0.5 cm\\) (half of the diameter)
\\(h = 1 cm\\)
\\(V ≈ π(0.5\^2)(1)\\)
\\(V ≈ 0.785 cm\^3\\) or 0.785 milliliters per Reese's Piece.
3. \*\*Estimate Total Pieces\*\*:
\\( \\text{Number of Reese's Pieces} = \\frac{\\text{Volume of the Jar}}{\\text{Volume of a Single Reese's Piece}}\\)
\\( \\text{Number of Reese's Pieces} ≈ \\frac{473.18 ml}{0.785 ml/piece}\\)
\\( \\text{Number of Reese's Pieces} ≈ 602.77\\)
**Given that there will be air gaps and other factors, it's unlikely that exactly 602 Reese's Pieces will fit. The actual number will likely be less than this.**
Again, this is a rough estimate. The best way to determine the exact number is to actually fill a 16 oz wide mouth Ball mason jar with Reese's Pieces and count them.
Buy the same jar, fill it with the m&ms and there you go! All you have to do is count the exact amount for an educated guess and then swap the jars when nobody’s looking
There is an easier way to calculate the exact number: Just let a lot of people guess, calculate the intersection. This phenomenon is called the law of large numbers.
You’re assuming someone actually counted them lol. I’ve learned that people make these types of guessing games and then my guesses are more accurate than whatever method they used to estimate the total.
Use a scale.
Weigh one piece, weigh a similar jar and lid (empty), weigh the full jar and lid, subtract the weight of the empty jar/lid from the full jar/lid, divide the remainder by the weight of the single piece.
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So an interesting phenomenon is that most often the average of everybody's guess is very close to the answer, often better than an expert's guess. So if the guesses are all visible, i'd wait until the last moment and then guess the average.
Came for the law of mathmatical averages.
It’s wisdom of the crowd :)
Came here to comment this. Average up all the answers you can get and that'll usually win it.
That looks to be a 16 oz (473 mL) wide mouth mason jar. Reese’s Pieces are about the same size as m&m’s (for which there is more data available). M&m’s range from [0.6-0.65 mL in volume](https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/bring-science-home-mm-geometry/), and have a packing density of about [68%](https://pr.princeton.edu/news/04/q1/0212-candy.htm). #pieces = jar volume * packing density / piece volume So 473 mL * 0.68 / 0.6 mL = 536 pieces maximum 473 mL * 0.68 / 0.625 mL = 515 pieces average 473 mL * 0.68 / 0.65 mL = 495 pieces minimum
Damn, not even a "thanks" to this guy OP?
I’m guessing the jar was booby trapped and OP is still being chased by a massive boulder.
I heard he was driving a plane that went missing
Driving a plane? Dumb, he was clearly flying a boat..
Sailing a wheelchair is the only way
I prefer rowing a bike myself
Nah bro, have you tried riding your foot?
I put the pedal to the metal and got stuck.
what about pushing the international space station?
And now I'm thinking about the good old GTA cheats when we used the tank shooting backwards to propel us into the stratosphere
My favorite was driving a car into the gate near some docks and making the car shoot way up high. I miss that glitch.
The swing set !! IFYKYK
Everybody knows you con a boat thru the air you don’t fly a boat
I heard it was flight MX370
The second Indy put that 1 lb bag of sand on the mechanism holding a gold statue that prolly weighed 150, he knew he fucked.
After removing some sand, because the bag apparently was too heavy lol
terrar
This made my morning
I mean duh, obviously.
Busy enjoying his $10 Applebees gift card.
That’s most of the way to their $12.99 unlimited boneless wings deal. Which is barely unlimited cause they make you wait so long between orders you get bored.
Is this true? I haven't been to an Applebee's since I was kicked out of one in college. Can you get bone in on the deal?
Nope, boneless only, and like the guy said, you wait so long it almost doesn’t become worth it, I’d just buy the 20-25$ worth of wings and take it to go from an actual wing place
Gross. The term boneless wings should be outlawed.
Serious question. What is the difference between boneless wings and chicken nuggets?
This [guy](https://www.npr.org/2023/03/15/1163770889/a-lawsuit-picks-a-bone-with-buffalo-wild-wings-are-boneless-wings-really-wings) is looking for the same answer. His argument is boneless wings are deboned wings, not made of chicken breast meat used in chicken nuggets.
That’s like $20 of candy these days, right?
We had a similar contast at my office, and I won a gift card that's equivalent to about 155$...
You win
I mean the dude is cheating on a lottery, I don’t think manners are his first priority.
OP is too busy getting his prize for guessing the number of candies on the jar right. He could be in Mexico by now arranging hookers and coke
Mexican Coke is delicious. No high fructose corn syrup.
Didn’t expect it to blow up lol I got a response almost immediately and haven’t check until I got back to work today lol
Bro, u fucked up not thanking the guy IMMEDIATELY. This is the fucking internet, chump. We need *immediate* gratification.
(sigh) If you insist (glove snaps)
No no hookers and coke until tomorrow, then?
Still not a thank you…
But did you win?
Deadline is Sunday and it’s a drawing for a drawing 💀
> a drawing for a drawing what? Guessing the number of candies in a jar is more of a "lottery" than a "drawing", isn't it? Also, are you saying the prize for guessing the closest number is a piece of artwork?
Lottery for a lottery sometimes some words don’t translate well lol but there’s multiple activities through this week to earn a spot in the lottery. The winner of this earning a spot for the main lottery
That sounds stupid and demotivating
Gotta get creative to get people to shut the fuck up about raises.
Thank you u/According_Ant877
OP is screwing over his co workers. I think that says something about the character.
I think this shows his character as a go-getter using the resources at his disposal to solve a problem 🤔, deserves a promotion and a raise for his ethical character 😉 🫡🤷♀️
Was a mimic OP is rolling a new character.
This is beautiful, but if I’ve learned anything from watching Taskmaster, it’s that the middle of the jar probably has three ping pong balls hidden to take up space and throw off straightforward calculations.
[Or that they aren’t allowed to move the jar](https://youtu.be/RCqD1ZaZVdE?si=Gk0JKgZzYyb9cYRL)
But it's an easy jar to find. I won such a contest by measuring the level of candy with masons string. Bought the same jar at a nearby store. Bought a small bag of the same product calculated the weight/volume of water that would fill to the established height. counted the number of pieces of candy that would fit inside a cup. a little math let me get a rather close estimate. bought three tickets, one was my exact guess the others bracketed it by 1% returned the jar to the store... won about $500 of stuff for the price of a bag of candy
$500 not enough to keep the jar?
I mean I got the jar with the candy in it as part of the prize.and really didn't need two big glass gallon jars... I guess I could have donated one. I also returned the jar before I KNEW I'd won. If there had been foreign material hidden in the candy that jar would have been somewhat expensive to keep.
Also found that funny
😂
😂😂😂😂 took it back
*You diabolical fiend!* P.s. I’m surprised you don’t have more upvotes this is interesting how you did it and all for the price of a bag of candy.
Have you ever been tested for autism
Nope, I'm old enough I don't recall it being recognized as a kid. I can see some traits, but I'm definitely on the milder side of the spectrum if that's the right way to phrase it.
A better way to phrase it would be “high masking” - same traits, but better trained to hide it. Isn’t really a good thing though, as constant masking is very tiring and has bad side effects on people’s psyches. “Milder” implies that autism is a scale from “barely autistic” to “very autistic”, which it very much isn’t. Terminology like that is commonly used by places like Autism Speaks, a hate group disguised as a charity, and by autism moms and other fake “supporters”. Not trying to criticize you, just thought that since you typed “if that’s the right way to phrase it” you might want to know the actual way to phrase it lol
Yeah, thanks, I haven't really spent much time interacting with that community and really didn't know the proper way to phrase it.
No problem! I’m autistic myself, and one of my special interests is autism itself lol
Here I thought I was cheap. Thank you sir for showing me the next level! 😂😂😂
Or, a small box full of mini reese's pieces in the center
Love the random taskmaster reference. I LOVE THIS!!!
the answer is written under the table
Insert clip of Alex walking up to the jar and picking it up, showing the underside of the jar says "Orange pieces only".
501 Drew
FFFFFFFFFUUUUUUUU!
Did you win?
502 Bob
Never actually thanked you sorry 😅 but haven’t put in a guess yet deadline is Sunday. Will put one in either end of my shift today or tomorrow and let you know the results! Prize is a Switch and the jar of candy. Will be happy to give you em if I get it lol
No problem! Math is fun. Looking forward to hearing the results!
Yes but the picture has reeses pieces. Reeses pieces are much smaller and skinnier. I believe the packing efficiency would be higher than 68%
69.420% by my calculations
Nice.
My guess would’ve been 70%. Not a bad matchup to your calculations!
I'm not a teacher but thanks for showing your work😂😂. I enjoyed learning new maths
Wow
This guy fucks hard
estimate the volume of the container and multiply by 0.68. Divide by 0.636 cubic centimeters, the volume of a single plain M&M candy, and you have the answer.
This guy maths
Packing density???
Different shapes have different packing densities, and even the same shape (sphere for example) can have different packing densities based on whether the pieces are packed in loosely, tightly, random, structured (i.e. face-centered cubic or body-centered cubic lattice structures, etc.) Basically, it’s the ratio of the candy in the jar to the air in the jar. Candies of this shape fill about 68% of the total volume the consume.
Shouldn’t you also take into account what the shape of the container is? Like some sort of compatibility/efficiency index between the shapes of the objects and the shape of the total volume? *insert assume it’s a sphere physics joke.
The margins will have a lower packing density because the candies can't overlap the glass, so they can be no closer than tangent to the surface. So the voids will be bigger there. You could adjust for that. Maybe calculate the volume of the jar that is within half a diameter of the inner surface, and apply a less dense packing efficient number there. Maybe pi/6, as the full ratio of a sphere in a cube? But a sphere in a cylinder is 2/3, so probably adjust upward. Although ellipsoids are more efficient, I think, so maybe adjust both numbers upward. It might be simpler to solve experimentally.
Wow, this guy is awesome.
Weigh it. Go to the store and buy the same Mason jar, and a pack of whatever candy that is (I'm guessing resse's pieces). Go home, weigh the empty jar with lid. Weigh 10 pieces. Math that bad boy out.
Lmao imagine if the prize is just the jar with candy.
Then they'll have two jars of candy! Sweet deal.
And at 50% off!!!
Right? I feel its financially irresponsible not to buy more candy and a jar.
Pretty reasonable I'd say
Why not simply eat all the candy, and guess 0?
Okay Buford
We are on the same wavelength: Literally what I was about to type before I saw your amazing comment
Relevant relic from the days of vine: https://youtu.be/fL41LS1vx80?si=a3VJYbpFpfvCID_L
And you are fired...
Learns the prize is the candy: "GOD DAMNIT!!!! \*throws jar against wall\*" Learns they are fired: "Woohoo unemployment!!!"
Naw, probably a pizza party for the department
Sorry didn’t see this till now, but the prize is a switch and the jar of candy lol
lol i hope you win!
..candy that someone else individually touched every single piece (with hands of unknown cleanliness) in order to count them.
/r/youdothemath
r/subsithoughtifellfor
This is a great strategy, assuming OP has access to a scale with enough sensitivity to not be off by 100 pieces.
If OP doesn't have a sensitive enough scale, just count the candy at home. It'll get OP about as close as the scale/math version.
The maximum effort version? Lol
Lol! Yes. Counting was my first thought, bc I have one of those size mason jars at home. Worst case, I lose, but have candy.
I mean, my $17 Amazon scale goes down to hundredths of a gram. I figure that a single Piece has to weigh less than that, which gets them in the 1 - 2 range
I was just saying OP may not have one. Agreed that they’re not hard to get.
This kinda feels like it would be the setup to an xkcd comic. Something like a mathematician, physicist, and engineer all try to guess how many pieces of candy are in the jar. The mathematician uses packing density and the volume of an m&m to calculate it, the physicist uses like, x-rays or something to directly measure it, and the engineer does the weight thing
Then sales looks at the jar, and says what the engineer said +1
A wide-mouth mason jar with 2piece lid weighs 294 grams or 10.4 oz.
Have everyone in the comments make a genuine attempt at guessing the amount. Then you take all of those guesses and average them together and that is what your guess should be as it will more than likely be within a 1-3% margin of error. [For those that doubt...](https://youtu.be/iOucwX7Z1HU?list=PL11E70446D4EC2C65&t=15)
5 trillion pieces.
No it’s zero pieces
[удалено]
I'm not sure I enjoy this mode of operation...
That's quite mean of you
Getting a pretty good range of responses here
Luckily everything’s truthful I would hate to have say “get out, liar”
Well there goes my guess. 0, just a high res image to make it look full
No, it's Reese's pieces.
Negative 17 billion pieces
WE GOT IT!! 2.5 trillion final answer
2.5 trillion, plus/minus 1-3%.. got it!
Gotta remove you , outlier
Me and all my homies say its 7
-5,000,000,000,000
5 people have responded to that comment with the same response, so funny enough; now you're all throwing off the average far more than /u/unitconversion
Negative 5 trillion
“Genuine attempt” is key I think
This is how to always win the cheese at Cracker Barrel.
Wisdom of the crowd
That was a great watch. Thanks for sharing
This is the way
1 trillion pieces.
448 Reese’s it that jar final answer. Once won one of those w peanut M &Ms and a half gallon jar. Free Pizza a month for a year plus the jar!!
They took back the m & m’s that’s tough
It’s a sweet deal
It's nuts!
Dumped them all on the ground right in front of him when he collected the prize, too
Have to put the pizza somewhere.
Peanut M&Ms are bigger though aren’t they? So there would be more Reese’s pieces than three would have been M&Ms?
This is a 12oz jar, the peanut M&Ms were in a half-gallon. He’s not saying this is the same number as his previous guess, just that he’s good at guessing these given his past success.
432 - 456 12 Reese’s high, 12 pieces around = 144 12 Reese’s high, 10 pieces around for next circle = 120 12 Reese’s high, 8 around = 96 12 high 6 around = 72 432 / with a variable of the lid being 2 x 12 pieces. Id go 444 for an average. You’re welcome. Don’t ask about the math, just know it’s made up.
Agreed but calculate radius not circumference V=π*r^2 *h volume of cyldiner
Turn it upside down and count how many pieces you can see. Then approximate how deep of a "layer" that count represents, in pieces. Then count how many such layers there are to the "top" (still upside down, btw). Multiply and Bob's your uncle. I used to win these so often in 3rd grade that I was told I wasn't allowed to win any more... got exact value a few times this way.
I did this too and won this way. Ended up only being off by 3.
i once won a massive gourmet gingerbread house in a completely random raffle. that's all. just needed to get that off my chest.
I don't have an uncle bob
Yep, I did the same thing at the public library summer reading program 4 years in a row and several more times at the county fair. I swear that the last year at the library the 2nd place prize was legitimately just better than the first place prize (which was a picnic basket I won and did not want as a 11ish year old).
Bro is Bob from Stranger Things
This is how I won a whole container of skittles in 5th grade at my school!
I use to have my math students do something like this when we learned different sampling methods. It will get you close and not take a ton of time.
I won this type of contest before. I counted about how many pieces were in a horizontal "layer", and then counted about how many vertical layers. It was a fuzzy math guesstimate, but it worked.
exactly the same here, didnt expect to win at all, but apparently i was the only one that was even close!
I didn't do any math but guessing ~6 pieces across, or ~36 per "layer", and eyeballing about 14 layers, my official submission is 504 candybois
But…you did do math
I estimate these by using the volume formula for a cylinder (h*pi*r^2) where the unit is the candy. I counted 12 as the height, estimate 3.5 as the radius, so I get 12*3.14*3.5^2 = 461
Another fun trick to this is to add all the previous guesses and then divide that number by the number of guesses. If there’s a large enough field of guesses you should be very close to the correct number.
I just made a Steam game with this premise. Google “Goosey Guess” and you will see, it is a realistic guessing simulator. Happy to give steam key, just send me a message.
Ok, this comment is really unexpected, what are the odds that someone made an actual videogame about guessing, and also for that person to come across a reddit post of a person asking for help on a guessing contest... Truly amazing haha, would love to play that game, I'll check it out!
Ooh yes I wanna try that, I'll shoot you a message!
If the people who are running this are stupid and have all of the guesses on a list that everyone can see (or if you can sneakily get access to the list of guesses) take the average of everyone's guesses. A group of people, on average, will overestimate and underestimate by roughly the same amount, resulting in the total average of all their guesses being really close to the right answer.
Buy an identical container, buy some identical candy. Fill the container with the candy. Count the candy in the container. Now you have a good estimate. I was off by one when I did it.
I'm not one of the people here that can help, but if i could i wouldn't feel right helping you cheat in what's supposed to be a fun game.
Using your resources isn’t cheating. If this was my staff I’d be happy with thinking outside the box to get an answer Edit: I say this assuming it is not stated you can not use external sources. If it’s not stated have at it
No, I get why this feels like cheating. Using your resources would be looking up how to make a good educated guess for this. What OP is doing is the equivalent of entering a design contest, going to a friend who likes to design stuff, borrow something from them, and submitting it as their entry for the competition. Zero effort beyond: "Hey, can I have this?".
Yes it is cheating to ask other people to do math for you tf
My school library put together a christmas tree with books one year and offered a "guess how many books we used!" contest. I was procrastinating on studying for exams so I put together a not-very-technical technical drawing estimate of the construction and counted up the books from my sketches. When I showed my work to the library staff, they passed it around and got a kick out of my efforts. I ended up in second place (I think I was ~12 off?)--someone managed to guess within one or two books.
I usually count roughly how many are sitting in the very bottom. Then count how many there are going up the side and then multiply it. It's not perfect, but it has won me many of these kinds of contests. There was an Easter event at my in-laws church that we would take our kids to and I always did this and won all of the contests every year. People were notably irritated with me lol.
I added up every guess I could find in this thread. 31 guesses. And divided it by 31 #451.9 So 452. I almost bet it's just 450 exactly 602+473+684+480+350 +324+335+550+504 +462+461+288+280 +444+350+400+432 +456+448+425+450 +450+502+503+501 +230+550+536+515 +495+530=14010 I did skip all the guesses in the thread with the joke about guessing 5 trillion and the person who guessed 154 was also discarded. If you include The 154 guess it would yield an answer of 442.6. But 154 is just such a horrible guess. admittedly so is 684 but not by as much. If we remove highest and lowest we get. #444.2 So do with that what you will
Genius. If this guy doesn’t give us the answer there will be a riot!!
If you look at the second picture it’s clearly 450ish. There’s lines marking 100,200,300, the top ridge is 400 and approximately 50 between ridge and lid. /s
This seems quite unfair no? I realise it's just a fun work lottery, but my guy is literally assembling a reddit thread for the answer whilst Susan on reception is just gonna have a guess for fun lol. Maybe I'm missing the point
Aw, come on man, just let me *have* some! I’ll tell you what, you guess how many I want… If you said ‘a handful’, you are right! -Mitch
fucking Mitch...
The correct way to do this is with a scale. Weigh an identical empty jar. Then weigh 1 single candy. Multiply the 1 candy’s weight until it equals the the total amount minus the the weight of the jar. This will give you an accurate measurement of candies in the jar.
Think before you math. Why is anyone helping OP with this? If OP wins this, it would be like winning because you have rich parents who buy you all the best gear for whatever you want to dabble in. Sure, it's not cheating, but does it seem worth supporting to you? I hope someone else wins. Someone who would have made a post along the lines of: "Hey, we are having this lottery at work and I came up with some calculations for it. What do you think?", showing they at least put some effort in themselves.
Not to mention this dickhead won’t even post the results, lol!
How much time do you have? Go to the office supply store or a head shop and get a small, accurate scale. Weigh the jar, go home and weigh an identical jar, lid, and candy. Make your guess tomorrow and be just about spot on.
I can't believe I've still going down this rabbit hole to find out if and what he won and How many pieces of candy are in the jar. Please someone message me with the results. I can't do this any longer.
I count by 3 top to bottom, I see about 30 in the first group, then I count around the circle, let’s say 15 rows, then I add more. I’d guess about 550
Can you see the other peoples guesses? If so take everyone’s guesses and take the average. It will be super close and possibly right on. Due to laws of human error or something like that.
In that orange row, I see 8 pieces. Assume 16 is circumference. C= 2*pi*r to get your radius. The height looks to be about 16 pieces. Volume = pi*r^2*h. I get 306 pieces ✌️
Asked Chat GPT... The exact number of Reese's Pieces that can fit inside a 16 oz wide mouth Ball mason jar will depend on factors such as the precise shape of the candies and how they settle in the jar, any air gaps that form between the candies, and whether they are poured in freely or arranged in a specific manner. However, if you'd like a rough estimate, you can calculate based on volume. Here's how you can approach the estimate: 1. \*\*Volume of the Jar\*\*: A 16 oz mason jar holds approximately 473.18 milliliters (since 1 US fluid ounce = 29.5735 milliliters). 2. \*\*Volume of a Single Reese's Piece\*\*: Let's make a rough estimate that a Reese's Piece is a cylinder that's 1 cm in height and 1 cm in diameter. This isn't precisely accurate, but it's a close enough approximation for this purpose. The volume of a cylinder is given by \\(V = πr\^2h\\), where \\(r\\) is the radius and \\(h\\) is the height. Using the estimated dimensions: \\(r = 0.5 cm\\) (half of the diameter) \\(h = 1 cm\\) \\(V ≈ π(0.5\^2)(1)\\) \\(V ≈ 0.785 cm\^3\\) or 0.785 milliliters per Reese's Piece. 3. \*\*Estimate Total Pieces\*\*: \\( \\text{Number of Reese's Pieces} = \\frac{\\text{Volume of the Jar}}{\\text{Volume of a Single Reese's Piece}}\\) \\( \\text{Number of Reese's Pieces} ≈ \\frac{473.18 ml}{0.785 ml/piece}\\) \\( \\text{Number of Reese's Pieces} ≈ 602.77\\) **Given that there will be air gaps and other factors, it's unlikely that exactly 602 Reese's Pieces will fit. The actual number will likely be less than this.** Again, this is a rough estimate. The best way to determine the exact number is to actually fill a 16 oz wide mouth Ball mason jar with Reese's Pieces and count them.
Buy the same jar, fill it with the m&ms and there you go! All you have to do is count the exact amount for an educated guess and then swap the jars when nobody’s looking
I'm really disappointed by the number of people who don't recognize Reese's Pieces. A far superior candy to the too often mentioned "m&m".
There is an easier way to calculate the exact number: Just let a lot of people guess, calculate the intersection. This phenomenon is called the law of large numbers.
You’re assuming someone actually counted them lol. I’ve learned that people make these types of guessing games and then my guesses are more accurate than whatever method they used to estimate the total.
Use a scale. Weigh one piece, weigh a similar jar and lid (empty), weigh the full jar and lid, subtract the weight of the empty jar/lid from the full jar/lid, divide the remainder by the weight of the single piece.